February 8, 2012


Tonight on Patriots All Access

Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

· Bill Belichick discusses getting his team ready to play after a Bye Week and looks at the overall speed of the Steelers on the Belestrator

· Scott Zolak visits with Belichick and one of the coach’s boyhood idols, Heisman Trophy winner and Hall of Fame quarterback Roger Staubach

· Vince Wilfork was mic’d up in the win over the Jets

· Steve Burton sits down with defensive end Andre Carter

· Dan Roche examines a rested Patriots team coming off their Bye Week as they prepare for a formidable opponent in Pittsburgh

· Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss discuss the state of the team and offer analysis

Preview:

Tonight on Patriots All Access

A must-see Bye Week edition of Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

  • Scott Zolak hosts a rare conversation with the three longest-tenured members of the Patriots: Tom Brady, Matt Light and Kevin Faulk. The veterans share thoughts from their years as teammates, including their first impressions of each other, the culture of winning they’ve helped create and which of the three can joke with Coach Belichick.
  • With no opponent this week, Coach Belichick breaks down last week’s win over the Cowboys on The Belestrator, including analysis of a key fourth-quarter defensive stop and tremendous insight into the game-winning drive.
  • All Access takes you behind the bench for game-winning drive and inside a victorious Patriots locker room.
  • Dan Roche takes a look at the Patriots’ position heading into the Bye.
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss share their opinions and analysis.

AFC Playoff Odds From AccuScore

PD has partnered with AccuScore this season to bring you data-driven content on the Patriots and their opponents throughout the year. AccuScore Advisor offers professional grade football betting systems that help build sustainable success while betting on NFL football.

AFC

The Bengals are somehow 4-2 and have won 3 games in a row.  Still, Cincinnati is not quite a contender making the playoffs in 25.7 percent of simulations but it’s getting close.  That number represents a 10.3 percentage point gain from a week ago.  The problem is the in-division competition in the AFC North.  Baltimore is the favorite for the division at 53.7 percent with Pittsburgh trailing at 40.5 percent.  Both teams are well over 80 percent odds to make the postseason.  Cleveland is the one North team already out of the picture.

Oakland suffered the biggest drop in the conference despite winning because of the injury to Jason Campbell.  The Raiders dropped 12.7 percentage points, but the recent acquisition of veteran Carson Palmer could reverse those fortunes.  The Chargers benefitted from the injury despite being off on a bye week gaining 5.7 percentage points to add to their projected AFC West lead.  Kansas City and Denver also benefitted slightly but the two teams combine to win the division just 2.2 percent of simulations.

The Jets got a big win on Monday night to reach .500 at 3-3.  That moved New York up 4.9 percentage points which would have been more had it been over a better team than Miami.  The Dolphins are now the first team to reach 0.0 percent in playoff odds, and they are well on their way to winning the Andrew Luck sweepstakes.  Buffalo suffered a heartbreaker to New York this week, one that could be critical in the standings.  The Bills fell to 44.5 percent playoff odds and would slot in the final Wild Card spot in the AFC for now.  New England continues to roll as the most likely playoff participant in the AFC.

Houston didn’t look great without Andre Johnson and Mario Williams in a loss to the Ravens.  To be fair, Baltimore’s defense shuts down most teams, but Johnson’s injury has to be a bit of a concern given how much Matt Schaub relies on him in the passing game.  The Texans are still the favorite in the AFC South for now at nearly 63 percent for the division.  Tennessee is next at 34.7 percent, and made only minimal gains because of a bye.  Jacksonville and Indianapolis are a combined 1-11 and win the division a combined 2.5 percent of the time.

AFC WEEK 6 REVIEW PLAYOFF % CHANCE
TEAM WK 6 WK 7 % DIFF WIN DIV
CINCINNATI BENGALS 15.4% 25.7% 10.3% 5.3%
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 83.6% 89.3% 5.7% 82.4%
NEW YORK JETS 21.5% 26.4% 4.9% 5.1%
TENNESSEE TITANS 35.2% 38.9% 3.7% 34.7%
BALTIMORE RAVENS 85.8% 89.0% 3.2% 53.7%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 94.1% 95.9% 1.8% 83.1%
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 3.0% 4.7% 1.6% 1.9%
DENVER BRONCOS 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3%
MIAMI DOLPHINS 0.2% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0%
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 1.7% 1.5% -0.2% 1.5%
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 1.4% 1.1% -0.4% 1.0%
CLEVELAND BROWNS 5.2% 2.7% -2.5% 0.4%
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 86.6% 83.9% -2.6% 40.5%
HOUSTON TEXANS 68.9% 64.7% -4.2% 62.8%
BUFFALO BILLS 53.2% 44.5% -8.6% 11.9%
OAKLAND RAIDERS 43.4% 30.8% -12.7% 15.4%

Tonight on Patriots All Access

Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

· Sights and sounds from New England’s victory over Oakland last Sunday, including footage from inside a victorious Patriots locker room.

· Coach Belichick discusses what’s new about the Jets since January’s playoff game and later examines a versatile Jets offense on The Belestrator.

· All Access follows Gary Guyton’s Path to the NFL.

· Steve Burton sits down with linebacker Rob Ninkovich.

· All Access catches up with the McCourtys, as identical twin brothers Devin of the Patriots and Jason of the Titans along with their mom, Phyllis, discuss the long odds of twin brothers making it in the NFL.

· Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss offer opinion and analysis.

This Week On Patriots All Access

Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

  • Part two of Scott Zolak’s conversation with his former teammate, Drew Bledsoe, as the two discuss the emotional roller coaster that was Bledsoe’s final season with the Patriots.
  • Steve Burton sits down with Vince Wilfork to dissect the nose tackle’s first career interception.
  • Zolak discusses the win over the Chargers with Coach Belichick, who later previews Fred Jackson and the Bills on The Belestrator.
  • Sights and sounds from an explosive offensive performance in the home opener versus the Chargers.
  • Dan Roche looks at how depth is an issue heading into Week 3.
  • All Access follows Mike Wright’s “Path to the NFL.”
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss share their opinion and analysis of the Bills matchup.

Preview:

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Patriots All-Access Preview

The 2011 regular season debut of Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

  • Coach Belichick explains his reasoning behind some recent roster moves as the Patriots get ready for their week one contest on Monday Night Football in Miami. He also breaks down the Dolphins on the Belestrator.
  • Sights and sounds from an eventful Patriots preseason.
  • Steve Burton sits down with Patrick Chung, now the longest-tenured safety on the Patriots.
  • All Access follows Leigh Bodden’s “Path to the NFL.”
  • A look back at the ten year anniversary of the attacks of 9/11 through the eyes of Patriots past and present, including owner Robert Kraft, Tom Brady, Drew Bledsoe, Tedy Bruschi, Troy Brown and Joe Andruzzi.
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss share their opinion and analysis of the Dolphins matchup.

Video Preview:

Can’t Watch Tonight? NFL Network Replay Schedule Here

As a reminder, here are the stations that will carry tonight’s Patriots/Buccaneers game:

Maine: Portland – WMTW-TV Channel 8, Bangor – WVII-TV Channel 7.

Connecticut: Hartford – WCTX-TV Channel 59. 

Vermont: Burlington – WVNY-TV Channel 22.

Hawaii: Honolulu KHNL-TV Channel 9.

Alaska: Anchorage KIMO-TV Channel 13.

Canada: (Quebec/Maritimes): Rogers Sports Net East.

Once again, the duo of Don Criqui and Randy Cross will call the games. Tonight’s game starts at 7:30pm EDT.

The game will be rebroadcast on the NFL Network at the following times:

  • Friday, 8/19, 4:00 PM ET
  • Sunday 8/21, 7:00 AM ET
  • Tuesday 8/23, 4:00 PM ET

Set your DVRs as those aren’t exactly in prime-time.

Patriots 2011 Preseason Television Network

For those of you across New England, or eastern Canada, here is the listing of TV stations that will carry tonight’s preseason opener against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Note: In the past, the games had also been carried on stations in Honolulu, Hawaii and Anchorage, Alaska. That is apparently no longer the case.

Massachusetts: Boston – WBZ-TV Channel 4, Springfield – WWLP-TV Channel 22.

New Hampshire: Manchester – WMUR-TV Channel 9.

Rhode Island: Providence – WNAC-TV Channel 64. (Reader note: Last year In RI, the Pats/Saints got moved from WNAC (64) to their digital channel MyRI TV, which is 64-2 because of the So You Think You Can Dance finale.  That channel is also carried on Cox, Comcast, Full Channel and Verizon in RI. If you have Satellite, you might be out of luck.)

Maine: Portland – WMTW-TV Channel 8, Bangor – WVII-TV Channel 7.

Connecticut: Hartford – WCTX-TV Channel 59. 

Vermont: Burlington – WVNY-TV Channel 22.

Hawaii: Honolulu KHNL-TV Channel 9.

Alaska: Anchorage KIMO-TV Channel 13.

Canada: (Quebec/Maritimes): Rogers Sports Net East.

Once again, the duo of Don Criqui and Randy Cross will call the games. Tonight’s game starts at 7:30pm EDT.

The game will be rebroadcast on the NFL Network at the following times:

  • Friday, 8/12, 4:00 PM ET
  • Sunday 8/14, 7:00 AM ET
  • Monday 8/15, 7:00 AM ET
  • Tuesday 8/16, 4:00 PM ET

 

Tonight on Patriots All Access

Tonight on Patriots All Access on WBZ-TV in Boston at 7 p.m. and immediately following at Patriots.com:

  • Dan Roche re-caps an unusual spring for the Patriots, as urgency in the NFL’s labor negotiations pick up steam.
  • Lyndsay Petruny chats with members of the Patriots coaching staff about the importance of Father’s Day.
  • From the All Access vault, a trip to Oklahoma City with receiver Wes Welker to learn what those closest to him think motivates the Patriots Pro Bowler.
  • All Access is at the 1986 New York Giants championship team reunion with Patriots coach Bill Belichick.
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss offer their thoughts on when the NFL labor impasse will be resolved and how it will impact the 2011 season.

Video Preview:

Felger A Cross-Dressing Fascist?

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Hey there. Did I get you? Did the headline pull you in?

I’m taking advantage of April Fool’s Day to make couple of quick comments about headlines, if I may.

A recent online column had the headline “Pats Sign Stud Free Agent Pass Rusher.”

Awesome, I thought. Perfect. Bill Belichick has done it again.

Then I clicked on the story to see that the stud in question was Marcus Stroud, who has all of 29.5 sacks in his 10-year career. Nothing against Stroud, but the only way his name and “stud” should appear in the same sentence would be if he a) gets in a time machine or b) takes up horse breeding.

Yet there I was, reading a page that I would have ignored had the headline read “Pats Sign Stroud.” It’s all about the ability to catch eyeballs, or – at the very least – catch and release.

Headlines should entertain and inform, not mislead. The best one I’ve seen recently came after Jimmer Fredette’s BYU team lost to Florida: “A Night To Fredette.” Makes looking through the sports section more fun, even online.

Tip-offs to a fake headline include big statements you haven’t seen anywhere else and question marks.

Let’s say you see “Tom Brady To New York?” That means either someone with zero credibility is discussing a fantasy trade, or the QB has tentative plans to head into Manhattan. Move on, folks. Nothing to see.

So, despite rumors to the contrary, sports media personality Michael Felger does not wear stiletto heels while staring at his Leni Riefenstahl movie poster. (And if he does, hey, no harm done. Right?)

We promise to avoid running headlines like that again. Unless this one pulls in big numbers, of course.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

 

Guest Column – Let The Silly Second-Guessing Begin

A guest column from George Cain

Like many Patriots fans, I’m still in shock over what happened to the New England Patriots on Sunday evening. Desparate for answers and comfort, I have turned to something many people do during a crisis – group therapy.

Unfortunately, the Boston Media is not the place to go for that therapy. Ironically, the Big Show and Ron Borges who I have criticized the last couple years, seem to be the only people offering sane responses.

Dennis & Callahan, Andy Hart, Michael Felger, Tony Massarotti, Andy Gresh, Gary Tanguay…wow are you kidding me? To quote Gru from “Despicable Me” who said, “this is garbage, you actually like this?”

Top 5 stupid analyses I have heard since the debacle.

  1. The Welker benching changed the tone of game. (Dennis & Callahan)
  2. The Patriots are too business-like and that doesn’t work in the postseason. (Andy Hart)
  3. Rex Ryan’s rah, rah style works better. (Numerous sources)
  4. Bill Belichick has lost his mojo. (Numerous sources.)
  5. The Patriots aren’t built to win a championship. (Michael Felger)

The last one might be the only one with a hint of truth to it.

Let me dispel a few myths.

The Welker benching! – So that caused Tom Brady to be confused and the Patriots to allow a fake punt to be called? Kind of a stretch.

The Business-like approach worked from 2001-2007, and that 2007 had all veterans.

Rex Ryan’s rah, rah, rah approach works better! Well, it works for the Jets. But the last FIVE Super Bowl winning coaches are: Sean Payton, Mike Tomlin, Tom Coughlin, Tony Dungy and Bill Cowher. Cowher was probably the most rah, rah of that group. While all of them are more animated than Belichick with the exception of Dungy none were thump your chest guys. And let’s not forget that the Jets haven’t won anything yet and the other 3 coaches still alive, Lovie Smith, Mike McCarthy and Mike Tomlin are not thumpers either.

Belichick has lost his mojo! Yes, the fake punt no matter whose fault it was, and the poor time management in the fourth quarter don’t look great for Bill, but three turnovers versus zero will lose you playoffs games. (Counting the punt and the turnover on downs)

It’s common when you’re doing a TV show or filling 4 hours a day on the radio to take a micro-look at every aspect of the team. But, let’s talk about this game.

Tom Brady, threw 4 interceptions the entire regular season. He threw one on the first drive, ON FIRST DOWN that cost them at least 3 points and probably 7. People have remarked it didn’t actually cost them points. Well sure it did. They didn’t score on that drive and the Jets possession took up about 10 minutes of game time. Time they could have used in the second half. If the Pats score 10 points on their first two possessions there is no fake punt attempt and the game is completely different. What really happened is this young, inexperienced defense was carried by a guy who had one of the all-time great seasons in the NFL. And when he played bad or just ok they either lost or nearly lost. The two Jets losses, the Packer and the Browns losses are examples of that.

Fact is people have forgotten that in 2001, 2003 and 2004 it was a complete TEAM. And that team had a great defense. A defense that could bail you out when your QB made mistakes and guess what people, FELGER, CALLAHAN, HART, he did!!

2001 Playoffs – Brady’s only played a quarter against the Steelers and threw for 146 yards in the Super Bowl. He was money when they needed but he didn’t carry them.

2003 Playoffs – 201 yards against the Titans, they win 17-14 on the strength of the defense and special teams. 237 yards against the Colts but threw a KEY pick in the end zone that almost let the Colts back in the game despite 5 INTs. Brady was great in the Super Bowl.

2004 Playoffs – 144 yards passing against the Colts. Defense gave up 3 points. 207 yards against the Steelers as the Patriots dominated in all 3 phases of the game. And let’s not forget Brady had a key fumble in the Super Bowl early and if not for Rodney Harrison’s play early on, it could have been a crushing loss for the Pats.

My point is, look at who is still standing in the playoffs, they all have great defenses. Did defense lose the game Sunday? No, but when the QB struggled they didn’t help win it. Two TD’s following Patriot scores. So, while it’s easy to nitpick every move, from the Welker benching to Spygate, people need to remember the NFL is a game about turnovers ask the Baltimore Ravens. The Patriots turned it over and that’s why they lost to a team they beat 45-3.

The local media and fans are stunned. They should be stunned and I still think if the Patriots won this week they could have gone to the Super Bowl despite their “business-like” approach. The Jets needed to play a perfect game AND hope the Patriots didn’t. That’s what happened. It’s really that simple. This team will win another Super Bowl when they have a team that doesn’t rely on one player to always be above average for them to win. It’s easier to game plan for one side of the ball.

Tonight on a special live edition of Patriots All Access (w/ video preview)

Tonight on a special edition of Patriots All Access live from Gillette Stadium, airing on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and streaming live on Patriots.com:

  • Dan Roche travels from Foxborough to Florham Park, measuring the mood from both the Patriots and Jets leading up to the Divisional Playoff clash on Sunday
  • Former Patriots tight end Christian Fauria sits down for a rare group interview with the three Patriots tight ends — Alge Crumpler, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez — to discuss how the group has helped transform Patriots’ offense
  • Scott Zolak’s weekly chat with Coach Belichick includes the coach’s take on the difficulty of facing a team for the third time in one season
  • On the “Belestrator,” Coach Belichick highlights two Jets that fly under the radar, but are valuable contributors
  • Fauria and Zolak demonstrate ways they think the Jets offense may attack the Patriots defense in their TURF segment
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss join host Steve Burton for a lively discussion on the playoff matchup