January 27, 2012


Gut Check – Game 16 at Texans

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

If there is a world record for screaming the word “No” repeatedly, many New England fans took their best shot at it Sunday afternoon when receiver Wes Welker went down with a knee injury in the first quarter of the 34-27 season-ender at Houston.

The Patriots lost the game and much, much more yesterday, including Welker and the momentum they seemed to have gained over the past two weeks. Now they must prepare for the post-season undermanned.

Some notes regarding what could be considered the Patriots’ worst setback of their 10-6 season:

Blind, Dumb And Defense: What else can be said about a defensive unit that gives up 21 points in the fourth quarter? Or that allows former practice squad running back Arian Foster 119 yards on 20 carries, including his pushing several defenders into the end zone for the winning TD? Or that lets opposing receivers reach the first-down marker unabated on third-and-long?

Not much good, that’s what can be said.

Crown Julian: Don’t count us amongst those ready to name Julian Edelman the next Welker. Sure, the rookie deserves credit (10 catches, 103 yards), but he’s still several years and about eight thousand catches shy of Welker’s pedigree.

They’re in trouble, is what we’re saying.

Just A Matter Of Tom: Here’s my impression of your typical New England fan every time Tom Brady dropped back to pass: “Oh my God oh my God OhmyGodplease.” Sound familiar? I mean, it’s great that Brady could get into a rhythm and everything, but one major injury was all fans could handle for this week. Thank goodness he got out of that game in decent shape.

What’s The Rush? Not counting the success of Fred Taylor (seven rushes, 33 yards, two TDs), the Patriots’ run game failed to make much of a dent in the Texans’ front. Sammy Morris ended up with nine yards on seven carries, which works out to only about 1.3 yards per carry more than I totaled from my couch.

Butler Did It: Rookie corner Darius Butler returned a tipped ball 91 yards to give New England a 20-13 third-quarter lead. Would have been a bigger story if the defense had made a stop in the fourth.

All About Steve: Kicker Stephen Gostkowski earns a mention after hitting all his kicks, including a 51-yard field goal in the second. His effort gets illuminated in contrast to Houston’s Kris Brown, who had to deal with the humiliation of shanking an extra point and missing two kicks (as well as spelling his first name wrong).

No Return Policy: Despite a cast of characters almost as big as Ben Hur, the Pats averaged less than 26 yards per kick return Sunday (six for 156 total). This means that, if the kickoff reaches a few yards into the end zone, Butler, Matthew Slater, Isaiah Stanback et al should just take a knee.

Tom’s Hoyer: The maturation of Brian Hoyer continues, as the rookie QB acquitted himself well (eight for 12, 71 yards) and seemed to follow Brady’s lead in avoiding trying to do too much.

With hindsight, of course, we wish most of the starters had watched from the sideline. The Pats still would have lost, but maybe they wouldn’t have lost so much.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

Matchups Of The Week – Patriots at Texans

It’s funny how things in the NFL can change in just a few short weeks. The Vikings have all the Farve haters chuckling. The Saints are in disarray, having lost to the Buccaneers and Cowboys. The Colts look ripe for the plucking, and have the Patriots fans salivating at the possibility of revenging that fourth and two debacle. While New England no longer seems like the one dimensional team that, ‘just isn’t that good’- a quote that can be lifted from any Boston sportscaster. Now, the Pats have a decent running game, a more sophisticated passing attack, a curious pass rush, and a formidable offensive line. All of the pieces need to come into place in order for the Patriots to have a successful playoff run. Look for these matchups against Houston as a tune-up for the playoffs:

1. Andre Johnson vs. Patriots Secondary

The young Patriots secondary, recently infused with Shawn Springs’ and James Sanders’ experience, need to be able to step it up come playoff time. This week will be a great warm-up against Andre Johnson. He is clearly one of if not the best receivers in the league and is a handful for any secondary. The playoff run will be mired with elite receivers and the secondary need to figure out how to contain them.

2. Laurence Maroney vs. The Fumble

In order for the Patriots to have a successful playoff run, they need to have a reliable running game. Enter Laurence Maroney who is having a great season and is the team’s best running threat. However, his propensity to fumble on the goal-line has gotten him benched. What better way of regaining the team’s confidence, then to have a fumbleless performance in a meaningless game? No risk, all reward. Don’t mess up Maroney.

3. Patriots O-line vs. Texans pass rush

Sebastian Vollmer and Matt light have anchored the ends very nicely the last couple of weeks. They need to continue their good work and not let Tom Brady get hurt in a meaningless week 17 game.

4. Patriots tight ends vs. Texans Safties

Last week against the Jaguars, the Patriots finally utilized Watson and Baker in the passing game. It seems that the emergence of Vollmer has strengthened the offensive line and freed up the tight ends to venture out downfield. This new offensive wrinkle will keep defenses honest and pay dividends for the rest of the offense.

5. Ron Brace and Wright vs. Texans O-line

Second round pick Ron Brace is having a dismal rookie year and needs to show that he can provide depth on the defensive line. Brace, along with Wright and Myron Pryor need to stop the second worst running team in the league and show that they can be counted on to spell Wilfork and Warren in the playoffs.

First Impressions – the Houston Texans

It says here the Patriots should play to win this week in their matchup at the Houston Texans just like the Giants did in ’07. If anyone is borderline injury-wise, it would make sense to leave them out of the game. But besides that, it would make sense because there is a possible advantage to the third seed that could come into play if the Patriots lose and Cincinnati wins. Recent history suggest there is something to the momentum theory as well. Beyond that, the sound of 11-5 is better than 10-6. In addition, the game means something to not only the Patriots but their opponent in terms of who gets in and other teams. Unlike in ’05 when the Dolphins game was pretty much meaningless (aside from seeding).

It worked for the Giants as we all know what happened in 2007. So if it was me filling Bill Belichick’s decision making shoes, you’d see Tom Brady the entire game. And Randy Moss. And Wes Welker. And anyone else that was healthy and important. And you’d see a game plan designed to win. At 11-5, heading into a home playoff game with a win and clicking you’d have to view the Patriots as a dangerous team.

Will it play out that way? Will the Patriots play to win? We’ll find out Sunday at 1PM.

QB Matt Schaub (#8):

Schaub is a very big, strong-armed quarterback with great tools and an ability to move around the pocket. He is still prone to bouts of inaccuracy, but is a coming into his own as one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL. He has had some problem with injuries in the past. Back in 2005, threw for 298 yards and 3 touchdowns with a 112.1 QB rating filling in for an injured Michael Vick against the Patriots, though the Patriots won 31-28. Largely on the strength of that performance, Houston traded for Schaub with results finally starting to payoff big this year. With the Patriots occasional struggles in the secondary, it’ll be interesting to see how they do with the productive Schaub.

RB Arian Foster (#37):

Foster is an undrafted rookie out of Tennessee who is starting due to injuries in the Texans’ backfield. He had his best game last week with 97 yards in a Houston win. It was somewhat of a surprise he wasn’t drafted after putting up over 3,000 yards in college and having a decent size/speed combination.

WR Andre Johnson (#80):

Possibly the best wide receiver in football and one of the most dangerous offensive weapons around. Johnson has it all, size, speed, great hands and strength. He can get deep behind a defensive back, but also take a short pass the distance many times with the awesome skills he has. For the second year in a row, Johnson is up over 1,500 yards receiving and had 9 touchdowns on the year. Stopping Johnson will be a key to how the Patriots’ defense performs Sunday.

DE Mario Williams (#90):

Williams was a controversial pick by the Texans at  #1 overall a few years back ahead of Reggie Bush. It has proven to be a wise decision. Williams is one of the more dominant defensive linemen in the league and a real chore to block one on one. He’s effective versus the run, but a monster to handle as a pass rusher. Still just 24 years old, Williams has had a slightly less effective season than the previous two, but still has 8 sacks on the year. You can be sure he’d like to get to double figures for the third year in a row. The Patriots will have their hands full handling him.

LB DeMeco Ryans (#59):

A tackling machine, the 6’1″ 250 lb. Ryans is now a regular amongst NFL defensive tackles leaders annually. Active and quick, he is a good football player who has been a leader for the Texans since his rookie year. Ryans was the predecessor to the Patriots’ Jerrod Mayo as NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year. Though the Texans rank somewhere around the middle of the pack in both passing and rushing defense, its not the fault of Ryans who usually is as active a playmaker as you’ll see from a middle linebacker.

Houston Texans Official Site

Houston Chronicle Texans Fan Blog

texanstalk.com fan message board

Patriots All Access Saturday 7:00pm (with video preview)

Patriots All Access will air on Saturday again this week. Here is what’s in store (with video preview below):

Time: Saturday, Jan. 2 at 7 p.m. on WBZ-TV, also available immediately afterward on Patriots.com

  • A behind the scenes look at the Patriots AFC East clinching victory over Jacksonville, including a “hats and t-shirts” postgame celebration in the locker room
  • Head Coach Bill Belichick discusses the Patriots approach to Sunday’s regular season finale in Houston and breaks down all three phases of the Texans on “The Belestrator”
  • Steve Burton sits down with 2009 breakout performer Tully Banta-Cain
  • All Access presents a whimsical 2009 awards segment, introducing viewers to “The Zoeys”
  • Scott Zolak and Christian Fauria break down the Texans’ high-powered passing game that features Pro Bowl wide receiver Andre Johnson
  • Our final “Top Ten List” of the 50th Anniversary Season counts down the top post-season games in franchise history
  • Patriot Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston.com’s Mike Reiss lend their analysis and break down possible playoff opponents for the Patriots

Worry Wart – Game 16 at Texans

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Happy New Year, Patriots fans, or as we like to call it, Digital Day (01-01-10). It’s already off to a solid start, as New England begins 2010 with a home playoff berth in hand.

With the results of Sunday’s visit to Houston meaning little to the standings, it’s difficult to dig up concerns. Still, that’s the kind of stuff we do here at PD, so herewith, a few worries for the novus annus

Casting A Pollard: The last time quarterback Tom Brady stood on the same field as safety Bernard Pollard (late of the Chiefs, now with the Texans), bad things happened. Though signs from practice indicate that Brady will play Sunday, we hope he gets to the sideline as quickly as possible.

The Ghost Of Season’s Pass: The City of Houston’s fireworks display could continue through Sunday, as they’ve been one of the most productive passing teams in the league. Maybe the New England secondary – which has more questions marks than the Riddler – should see some field time to prep for the playoffs.

The Green-Ellis Mile: With Sammy Morris and Fred Taylor recently returning to health, we expect to see BenJarvus Green-Ellis have more carries than an Irish phone book. (Carries, Kerrys. It’s a reach.) This could, however, evoke speculation over Laurence “Times Square” Maroney (nicknamed for another famous ball-dropper), because Maroney getting too many rushes or too little would be interpreted as a bad thing. This, in turn, would mess with Maroney’s psyche.

Best case scenario? Maroney plays most of the game and shreds the Texan defense.

It Would Be Our Pressure: It seems a shame to ease up just when New England may have figured out how to pressure the opposing quarterback. While the defense only sacked David Garrard twice last week, the Jaguar QB found himself under more duress than my will power at a Ben & Jerry’s. Do Tully Banta-Cain and Derrick Burgess sit to give Rob Ninkovich and Pierre Woods more time, or does the starting D play as a unit in the hopes of continuing to coalesce?

Of course, if a starter gets hurt, then it hits the fan. Which means…

Bang The Conundrum: Play for practice, or sit for recuperation? Get your timing down and risk injury, or avoid contact and lose your momentum? These are the things we worry about.

But you know what? If those concern us the most, 2010 isn’t giving us all that much to worry about. Yet.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]