February 22, 2012


Pats Draft Scenarios: Please Don’t Take Offense

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Outside linebacker, defensive end and offensive lineman should sit at the top of New England’s draft list. But what about the rest of the offense?

Fellow PD writer Dan Snapp pointed out a recent comment on boston.com about Bill Belichick meeting Miami wide receiver Leonard Hankerson (I guess you could call that info a Snapp to attention. Ha ha! Right?). It got us thinking about how we’d feel drafting specialty positions with New England’s first three picks (17, 28, 33).

Below lie the various reactions we expect if the home team were to take the best player available instead of addressing their most pressing needs.

Alabama RB Mark Ingram

RUNNING BACK (aka the “All right, I can see that” pick)Mark Ingram stands out as a clear first-rounder. We’re also big on Mikel Leshoure. People love Ryan Williams: that’s a polite way to say we don’t quite see it.

The last time New England won a Super Bowl, they had a big back in Corey Dillon (and the year before that, another bulky ball-carrier in Antowain Smith). That puts Ingram and Leshoure in the forefront for us.

Later round possibilities: Heavier guys like Delone Carter and Allen Bradford intrigue us. Carter (a bowling ball at 5-9, 222) rushed for over 1,000 yards at Syracuse, while forklift Bradford ran a 4.53-second 40 at 242 pounds. As a senior at USC he averaged over seven yards per carry.

WIDE RECEIVER (aka the “Well, that’s cool, I guess” pick) – If the Pats can get their hands on the likes of A. J. Green (consensus number one at the position) or Julio Jones, they have to consider it. However, the next three leave room for doubt.

Maryland’s Torrey Smith, Pittsburgh’s Jon Baldwin and Miami’s Hankerson could all produce at Gillette. Having Tom Brady at quarterback makes that seem obvious, though we shouldn’t forget the Chad Jackson Debacle. Smith (6-1, 204) has had a great spring, burning up the combine turf and showing good skills at his workouts. On the other hand, the freakish Baldwin (6-4, 228) has failed to show the speed or route discipline to make him a must-have selection.

Hankerson, though intriguing, begs the question: what are the Pats going to do with Taylor Price? Compare combine numbers between Hankerson and Price. The former is one inch taller; the latter leaps one inch higher. Their 40 times are both 4.40 seconds. Of course Hankerson’s experience at Miami outweighs Price’s at Ohio, but is he worth a top-33 pick?

Later round possibilities: We still like Edmund Gates and Cecil Shorts III – quick, athletic guys with special teams experience. In a deep receiver class, we can only mildly endorse a high pick.

TIGHT END (aka the “Punch me in the face so I feel something” pick) – Drafting Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez had one big benefit for Pats fans in that, for the first time in years, they spent the college football season not scouting tight ends. Kyle Rudolph of Notre Dame will change the dynamic of some lucky NFL team; however, having two 6-6, 260-pounders looks like too much.

D. J. Williams of Arkansas and Luke Stocker of Tennessee round out an unspectacular tight end class. (Here’s a funny, random fact: USC had a tight end named Jordan Cameron, while Cal had a defensive end named Cameron Jordan. Oh, that crazy Pac-10!)

Later round possibilities: We hear whispers about Virgil Green of Nevada, who’s got great athleticism (4.54 40, 42.5-inch vertical). We’d feel more comfortable with an H-back type like Ryan Taylor of North Carolina. He’s listed at fullback, but at 6-3, 250, he can take on the backfield blocker role where New England keeps platooning personnel.

QUARTERBACK (aka the “Hold me as I cry tears of rage” pick) – Some selections seem unnecessary but, much like Devin McCourty, defend themselves with a productive season. Blaine Gabbert of Missouri (who sounds like an Old West gold miner) should go to Carolina at number one overall. After that, Jake Locker and Cam Newton have the uppermost slots, though neither should make it to number 17.

A first-round QB to the Patriots? Shut your mouth. Shut it!

Later round possibilities: We like T. J. Yates, who put up record-setting numbers at North Carolina, and we remain intrigued by Josh Portis of California, Pennsylvania, who’s athletic, a prolific passer, and available late.

I know, I know: some of you believe Baldwin, Rudolph or (shudder) Locker would bring something special to Foxboro. If so, tell us in the comment section below.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

Pats Draft Scenarios: Day Three

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

No one can accurately predict the first round of the NFL draft. Predicting the last four rounds is like being a weatherman for Neptune: you have to guess based on meager information.

Instead of a prediction, let’s call this a wish list. If all goes according to plan on April 28 and 29, Saturday will become a mere formality. The Pats will have used their first six picks to add playmakers to their defense, muscle to their offensive line and maybe some talent to their specialist corps.

If successful early, New England could trade away their final three picks (one each in rounds four, five and six) for future compensation. If not, they could bring in a few contributors in later rounds. Below are 10 such players the Patriots could consider to fill out their rookie class…

Mark Herzlich

Outside linebacker Mark Herzlich, Boston College. Okay, he’s slow in the 40 (5.9 seconds). He’s not huge (6-4, 244). But come on. The dude beat cancer. You think he can’t take on a couple of flesh-and-blood NFL linemen?

Defensive end David Carter, UCLA. His prototypical size (6-5, 300) separates Carter from a relatively short field of prospects. And by “short,” I mean 6-3 or under. It’s all relative.

Offensive tackle Chris Hairston, Clemson. At 6-6, 326 pounds, Hairston fills out the tackle spot nicely. His 40 time was underwhelming (5.38), but his quick feet will get him drafted early on day three.

Offensive guard Justin Boren, Ohio State. First team Big Ten and a second-team All-American, the 6-3, 310-pound guard can also play center.

Wide receiver Cecil Shorts III, Mount Union. A small school guy with big numbers, what Shorts might lack in straight-ahead speed he makes up for in quickness, clocking in at 6.50 seconds in the 3-cone drill (top five at the combine). Oh, versatility? Add punt- and kick-returner to his duties, as well as over 100 yards running the ball this past season.

Running back Alex Green, Hawaii. Three things to know about Green: his size (6-0, 225), his speed (4.45 40), and his production (8.2 yards per carry in 2010). Aloha.

Middle linebacker Mike Mohamed, California. The speedy (4.65 40) Pac-10 All-Academic first-teamer (I know, but still, it’s something) led the conference in tackles this past season (112 total). With his athleticism, he could contribute on special teams right away.

Fullback Ryan Taylor, North Carolina. New England has tried myriad lead blockers in their backfield, including tight ends, guards and linebackers. Time to consider a horse (6-3, 250) with experience. Taylor had zero carries and 36 catches in 2010, the perfect stat combo for a potential H-back.

Quarterback Josh Portis, California-PA. A QB with great athleticism (4.59 40, 40-inch vertical), Portis passed for 2,650 yards for the D-II powerhouse. Should be available late and could be had for a trade down to the seventh round. (Note: the Pats have some experience with Cal-PA alums, as they brought in Vulcan cornerback Terrence Johnson for rookie camp last year.)

Tight end Schuylar Oordt, Northern Iowa. He’s a 6-6, 261-pounder who runs a 4.63 40. The Pats aren’t looking for a tight end, but who’s going to mess with a guy named Oordt? He should be an assassin in one of the Girl With a Dragon Tattoo movies.

Any day three players on your radar, please let us know with a comment below.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]