April 17, 2014

Patriots/Cowboys Preview From Accuscore and Playoff Odds

PD has partnered with AccuScore this season to bring you data-driven content on the Patriots and their opponents throughout the year. AccuScore Advisor offers professional grade football betting systems that help build sustainable success while betting on NFL football.

The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over the Dallas Cowboys. Tom Brady is averaging 326 passing yards and 2.9 TDs per simulation and BenJarvus Green-Ellis is projected for 55 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Dallas Cowboys wins, Tony Romo averages 2.28 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.79 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Felix Jones averages 58 rushing yards and 0.43 rushing TDs when Dallas Cowboys wins and 36 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. New England Patriots has a 62% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NE -7 — Over/Under line is 55

‘CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

DALLAS COWBOYS ATS RECORD NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1-2-1 All Games 4-1-0 New England Patriots
Road Games 1-0-1 Home Games 2-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-0-0 When Favored 4-1-0 Dallas Cowboys
Non-Division Opp 1-1-1 Non-Division Opp 2-0-0 New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

DALLAS COWBOYS ATS RECORD NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 7-9-0 All Games 11-6-0 New England Patriots
Road Games 4-4-0 Home Games 5-4-0 New England Patriots
When Underdog 6-2-0 When Favored 8-6-0 Dallas Cowboys
Non-Division Opp 4-6-0 Non-Division Opp 7-3-0 New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record 5-4-0 Opp Under .500 3-3-0 Dallas Cowboys

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

DALLAS COWBOYS O-U-P RECORD NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-1-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 4-1-0 OVER
On Road 2-0-0 At Home 2-0-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 13-3-0 All Totals Last Season 14-3-0 OVER
On Road Last Season 5-3-0 At Home Last Season 8-1-0 OVER

Updated Playoff Odds

AFC

The Bills continue to circle the wagons.  Buffalo beat the so-called “dream team” to continue its own dream season moving to 4-1.  The Bills gained over 10 percentage points in the AccuScore projections and now, make the playoffs more often than not: 53.2 percent of the time.  They remain tied with New England in the real standings.  However, the Patriots are the most likely playoff team in the AFC at 94.1 percent.  The AFC East team that should start to worry is New York.  The Jets had another significant drop in our projections, losing 7.3 percentage points this week.  Miami, though, is in good shape for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes.

Oakland won one for Al Davis and continues to be a viable contender in the AFC West.  The Raiders win the division in 25.9 percent of simulations.  The Chargers remain the favorite in the division. At 83.6 percent, the Chargers are a likely playoff team.  Kansas City actually won its second game this week, but the computers don’t believe in the Chiefs, as their playoff odds remain at just three percent.  The wins are really just worsening their draft positioning.  Denver got a crowd boost by playing Tim Tebow, but the playoffs are a fantasy for this season.

The AFC North is the only division with three teams with three wins, and four teams with two wins.  Pittsburgh gained a bit of ground on Baltimore by getting a big win over Tennessee.  The Ravens, however, were off on their bye week.  Still, the Steelers are the second choice in the North by a slim margin, winning the division 46 percent of the time.  The Ravens win the division 49.5 percent of the time.  The Bengals surprisingly have three wins, but they are long shots at the postseason at 15.4 percent.  At the bottom, Cleveland is just 5.2 percent likely to make the playoffs.

Houston fell 5.7 percentage points after an odd loss to the Raiders at home.  Luckily for the Texans, the AFC South is a weak division and they remain the favorites.  They win the division 66.4 percent of the time.  Tennessee is about half as likely for the playoffs winning the division 30.6 percent of the time.  Jacksonville and Indianapolis are already just playing out the string at a combined 1-9, with just a 3.1 percent combined probability for the playoffs. Peyton Manning for MVP?

AFC WEEK 5 REVIEW PLAYOFF % CHANCE
TEAM WK 5 WK 6 % DIFF WIN DIV
BUFFALO BILLS 43.0% 53.2% 10.1% 18.2%
OAKLAND RAIDERS 38.7% 43.4% 4.7% 25.9%
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 82.1% 86.6% 4.5% 46.0%
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 82.6% 83.6% 1.0% 72.4%
CINCINNATI BENGALS 14.5% 15.4% 1.0% 3.3%
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 2.7% 3.0% 0.3% 1.4%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 93.9% 94.1% 0.2% 77.1%
CLEVELAND BROWNS 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 1.2%
MIAMI DOLPHINS 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% 0.0%
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 2.2% 1.4% -0.7% 1.3%
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 2.6% 1.7% -0.8% 1.6%
BALTIMORE RAVENS 87.2% 85.8% -1.4% 49.5%
DENVER BRONCOS 2.2% 0.8% -1.4% 0.2%
TENNESSEE TITANS 39.5% 35.2% -4.3% 30.6%
HOUSTON TEXANS 74.6% 68.9% -5.7% 66.4%
NEW YORK JETS 28.8% 21.5% -7.3% 4.7%

Tonight on Patriots All Access

Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

· Sights and sounds from New England’s victory over Oakland last Sunday, including footage from inside a victorious Patriots locker room.

· Coach Belichick discusses what’s new about the Jets since January’s playoff game and later examines a versatile Jets offense on The Belestrator.

· All Access follows Gary Guyton’s Path to the NFL.

· Steve Burton sits down with linebacker Rob Ninkovich.

· All Access catches up with the McCourtys, as identical twin brothers Devin of the Patriots and Jason of the Titans along with their mom, Phyllis, discuss the long odds of twin brothers making it in the NFL.

· Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss offer opinion and analysis.

AFC East Roundup – Week Three

By Bruce Allen, Patriots Daily Staff.

A big week in the AFC East as two unbeatens are taken down, and a new team is at the top of the division…

Buffalo Bills (3-0, 1-0 in AFCE)

The Bills scored their biggest win since (fill in the blank). The Bills stormed back to beat the Patriots 34-31 at Ralph Wilson Stadium yesterday afternoon. It was a win that prompted cheering in the press box from the Buffalo media, and apparently even a little trash talk aimed at their New England colleagues. Buffalo Rumblings credits the Bills’ secondary with a huge bounce-back from last week and gives Fred Jackson the game ball for the week.The win vaults the Bills to first place in the AFC East, and they are now the only unbeaten team in the entire conference.

The Bills look to move to 4-0 next week as they travel to Cincinnati to take on the 1-2 Bengals.

New York Jets (2-1, 0-0 in AFCE)

Jets officials celebrated the Patriots loss to the Bills, but then saw their own team get shredded by Darren McFadden and the Oakland Raiders in a 34-24 road loss. The Jets Blog found this one painful to recap. It was a painful game on the field for the Jets as well, as they’re concerned about a couple of injuries following the game. TJB realizes that this loss is not the end of world, as they still are tied with the Patriots. (Apparently the Bills aren’t worthy of fear/respect just yet.)

The Jets have another test this week as they travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens on Sunday Night Football.

New England Patriots (2-1, 1-1 in AFCE)

Is the Patriots defense as bad as it looks? After three weeks, you’ll find them at the bottom of most league categories. Can they improve? At this point, it doesn’t appear there is anywhere to go but up. Injuries have been a factor, but certainly not an excuse. Would things have been different yesterday with a full squad? That’s hard to say. Of course the Suzy Sunshines of the world (that would be me) will point out that it’s how you play in December and January, not September that counts. If the defense is still surrendering 400+ yards and 30 points a game in weeks 12-16, we’ll panic then.

The Patriots travel out to Oakland to take on those same Raiders next week, with a chance to pick up a “common opponent” game on the Jets.

Miami Dolphins (0-3, 0-1 in AFCE)

Things are not looking good for the Tony Sparano era in Miami. Rumors had the coach needing to win either yesterday or this coming week in order to keep his job, and yesterday resulted in a 17-16 loss on the road to the Cleveland Browns. The Phinsider says that the Dolphins had every chance to win this game. The defense played OK, but then let Colt McCoy have his way on the final Browns drive. The Dolphins rough start has the fandom apparently dealing with an issue that we’ve seen once or twice here in Boston as well – You don’t have the right to tell me, or anybody else, how to be a fan.

It does not get easier for the Dolphins this week as they head out San Diego for a meeting with the Chargers, with Miami still looking for that first win of the season, and to possibly save Sparano’s job.

This Week On Patriots All Access

Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

  • Part two of Scott Zolak’s conversation with his former teammate, Drew Bledsoe, as the two discuss the emotional roller coaster that was Bledsoe’s final season with the Patriots.
  • Steve Burton sits down with Vince Wilfork to dissect the nose tackle’s first career interception.
  • Zolak discusses the win over the Chargers with Coach Belichick, who later previews Fred Jackson and the Bills on The Belestrator.
  • Sights and sounds from an explosive offensive performance in the home opener versus the Chargers.
  • Dan Roche looks at how depth is an issue heading into Week 3.
  • All Access follows Mike Wright’s “Path to the NFL.”
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss share their opinion and analysis of the Bills matchup.

Preview:

AFC East Roundup, Week Two

By Bruce Allen, Patriots Daily Staff

A quick look inside the division as week two of the NFL season winds down…

New England Patriots (2-0, 1-0 in AFCE)

If you’re a Patriots fan you should be very worried about the defense, at least that’s the takeaway from at least a couple of people in the media following yesterday’s 35-21 romp over the San Diego Chargers. Nationally, it seems the perception is that Tom Brady masks the Patriots’ problems. Looks like it’s going to be long season in New England, as nothing this team does in the regular season matters one bit until they can win a playoff game.Of course, Tony Massarotti told us last week that this was a game in which we would learn the identity of this Patriots team. If asked today, I’m pretty sure he’ll still say we don’t know what this team is.

The Patriots now head into their second AFC East road game, as the head to Western New York to take on the surprising Bills next Sunday afternoon. Incredibly, this is only one of four 1:00 PM starts the Patriots will have this season.

New York Jets (2-0, 0-0 in AFCE)

The Jets routed the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars 32-3 yesterday, moving them also to 2-0 on the season. How did the Jets get two back-to-back cupcakes at home to start the season? Hmm. on The Jets Blog, Tuchman is encouraged to see the Jets play so well against a weak opponent. Bassett on the other hand, says “even though the score was lopsided, there’s still some concerns from a team that are setting their sights on the Super Bowl.” Sounds very familiar.

The Jets next travel out to Oakland next Sunday to take on the Raiders, who despite a setback yesterday, have gotten some positive attention for their play in the early going this season. Still, you expect the Jets to come out of next week sitting at 3-0.

Buffalo Bills (2-0, 0-0 in AFCE)

The Bills may be the surprise of the AFC, if not the entire NFL right now, with back-to-back wins to open the season against AFC West opponents Kansas City and Oakland. Yesterday’s 38-35 Bills win might’ve been the single most entertaining game of the weekend, with the teams trading leads and touchdowns right down to the closing seconds yesterday. The Bills came roaring back from an 18-point halftime deficit to post the win in their home opener. Stevie Johnson was dominant, not only with his production, but by being able to draw penalties from the Raiders. Did you know that Fred Jackson leads the league in rushing through two weeks? Ryan Fitzpatrick is also getting attention from around the league, including talk about whether the Bills should be trying to get him a new contract. Buffalo some exciting young pieces in place.

Buffalo gets a big test next Sunday with the Patriots coming to town. As is well-documented, the Patriots have beaten the Bills 15 straight times dating back to a certain 2003 opening day contest. Logic dictates that the Bills need to break that streak at some point. Is it now?

Miami Dolphins (0-2, 0-1 in AFCE)

Not good times in South Florida. Of course, as a followup to the high scoring Patriots in week one, the Dolphins had to contend with the media’s-favorite-team-of-2011, the Houston Texans yesterday afternoon. The result was a 23-13 loss for Miami, who have now dropped their first two games, both at home to open the season. What’s the problem? LeftCoastFinFan says that it starts with coaching. Simply put, the best game-day coach in the league* just isn’t making the right calls or adjustments this season.

The Dolphins hit the road this week, heading to Cleveland in search of their first win of the season. The season could be getting away from Miami quickly with a loss there.

*© Albert Breer, 2010

AFC East Roundup, Week One

By Bruce Allen, Patriots Daily Staff

Here’s a quick look at where things stand in the AFC East after week one of the 2011 season.

New England Patriots (1-0, 1-0 in division)

Tom Brady threw for a Patriots franchise and Monday Night Football record 517 yards last night as the Patriots defeated the Dolphins 38-24  in South Florida last night. The Patriots served notice to the rest of the league that their offense is going to force the issue on teams, as it seems there is an emphasis on a fast pace and what has been dubbed a pressure offense.

The Patriots defense is a work in progress, but show some encouraging signs last night with the ability to get pressure on the quarterback in the second half, and with their newly revamped secondary making some plays. Albert Haynesworth made his presence felt in the middle, forcing a couple of costly holding penalties on the Dolphins offensive line.

The Patriots play the San Diego Chargers this weekend in their home opener.

New York Jets (1-0, 0-0 in division)

The Jets won the Ryan Bowl on Sunday night as Rex Ryan’s crew defeated the Dallas Cowboys and their defense led by  coordinator Rob Ryan. The Jets continue to pounce on any mistakes made by the opposition and make them pay dearly. The Cowboys made plenty of mistakes and allowed the Jets to capitalize and come away with a 27-24 win.

TheJetsBlog though, says that this was an ugly win, with plenty of causes for concern.

The Jets host the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday, and should move to 2-0.

Buffalo Bills (1-0, 0-0 in division)

The Bills were one of the surprises of the weekend, going on the road and completely dominating a team that was in the playoffs last year. Buffalo destroyed the Kansas City Chiefs 41-7 on Sunday, giving head coach Chan Gailey a measure of revenge towards the Chiefs and head coach Todd Haley, who hired Gailey as offensive coordinator in 2009, only to fire him two week prior to the season opener that same year.

Buffalo Rumblings offers some Historical Perspective on this win. The Bills host the Oakland Raiders this Sunday, trying to move to 2-0 on the season.

Miami Dolphins (0-1, 0-1 in division)

The Dolphins had a rough start to the season, but according to the Phinsider, still had plenty of positives to take away from this one, starting with the play of quarterback Chad Henne. Miami came into the season with plenty of questions about their head coach and quarterback, both of whom the team attempted to replace in the offseason. Henne played incredibly well, throwing for 416 yards and two touchdowns and rushing for 59 yards and a touchdown. The Miami defense was worn out by the Patriots offense, but I suspect they won’t the first this season to have that experience. That unit is solid and should have decent success this season.

The Dolphins look to get in to the win column this Sunday when they host the Houston Texans, a favorite of many in the media to finally break into contender status this season.

Patriots All-Access Preview

The 2011 regular season debut of Patriots All Access airs tonight on WBZ-TV at 7 p.m. and immediately following on Patriots.com.

Among the highlights…

  • Coach Belichick explains his reasoning behind some recent roster moves as the Patriots get ready for their week one contest on Monday Night Football in Miami. He also breaks down the Dolphins on the Belestrator.
  • Sights and sounds from an eventful Patriots preseason.
  • Steve Burton sits down with Patrick Chung, now the longest-tenured safety on the Patriots.
  • All Access follows Leigh Bodden’s “Path to the NFL.”
  • A look back at the ten year anniversary of the attacks of 9/11 through the eyes of Patriots past and present, including owner Robert Kraft, Tom Brady, Drew Bledsoe, Tedy Bruschi, Troy Brown and Joe Andruzzi.
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPNBoston’s Mike Reiss share their opinion and analysis of the Dolphins matchup.

Video Preview:

You Are Not Allowed To Enjoy This Patriots Season

By Bruce Allen, Patriots Daily Staff

Here are your New England Patriots, coming off a 14-2 season, and returning all their key players, while adding a new draft class, and veteran players such as Albert Haynesworth, Shaun Ellis, Andre Carter and Chad Ochocinco.

Should be an exciting season, no? One to look forward to?

Think again.

Once again, if you listen to the local talkmasters on radio or television, you know that in reality, this team is in BIG trouble. Oh sure, the hosts will make sure they tell you once or twice a show that this team will finish 14-2 again and win the AFC East, but the other 99.9% of the time they are on the air, they’re letting you know that this team is a house of cards, just ready to be toppled by the slightest breeze.

The Patriots can’t draft. That is crystal clear. Belichick tries to get too clever every year, trading around, and all he ends up with are stiffs. Every year. He’s completely lost his touch at drafting, and now that all the players from the Parcells era are finally gone, this team has no home-grown talent that they haven’t completely lucked into.

When Tom Brady is is hit, he is a below-average QB

Tom Brady’s window is closing. Unanimous MVP or not, he’s on the way down. He’s not the player he was when they were winning championships. Football isn’t his priority anymore. Globetrotting with his supermodel wife and his kids come first. His teammates wonder about his commitment. Even if Brady were still at the top of his game, the offensive line can’t protect him. Against a good or even decent line like the Jets, Ravens, Giants or even the freakin’ Detroit Lions or Cleveland Browns, the line folds up and Brady goes down. When Brady is getting hit he is an average or below average quarterback and the team can’t win. You think he’s going to repeat the miraculous season he had last year? No way. He’s good for double-digit picks this season.

Running game? BenJarvus Green-Ellis is a pedestrian back at best. Danny Woodhead is on the verge of brain damage from the hard hits he takes, and then you have a pair of fragile, injury-prone rookies who couldn’t get on the field in training camp. Good luck with that.

The receivers are aging. Did you know that Deion Branch didn’t catch a single pass in the preseason???? Welker is disgruntled about a lack of a contract extension, and Chad Ochocinco isn’t smart enough to pick up the Patriots offense and spends too much time Tweeting instead of studying the playbook. The other receivers have no talent and will hopefully never have to see the field. The tight ends will lose their focus this season after the team unceremoniously cut mentor Alge Crumpler. Bringing in another Gronkowski? Get ready for a frat party in the tight end meetings each day, and with Hernandez in that group, well, things could get illegal quickly.

The defense? You do realize that this was the worst third-down defense in franchise history, right? Even those 1-15 and 2-14 teams weren’t this bad. They only survived the season because they forced so many lucky turnovers. That’s not going to happen again.

Albert Haynesworth? You Patriots sycophants are willing to just give him a free pass on everything and think he’s going to actually be a model citizen here? He’s done. He can’t get on the field, he’s lazy, he’s going to have maybe one good game and then tank for the rest of the year. Shaun Ellis? You’re picking up Jets rejects now? Picking up players just because they had a good playoff game against you is no way to build a roster, Mr Belichick. Who’s going to rush the passer? The ancient Andre Carter? Sure, he looked OK against the scrubs of the Tampa Bay Bucs, but what’s he going to do against real offensive lines? Mark Anderson? They guy is a sieve against the run. They cut Gerard Warren? What are they thinking?

The linebacker except for Mayo are a bunch of JAGS and Mayo himself is overrated. The team cut their best two safeties in James Sanders and Brandon Meriweather and are relying on an injury-prone Pat Chung, who single-handedly (along with several others) cost the team the Jets playoff game with his ill-advised fake punt call. That’s your leader in the secondary? Who are the other guys? An undrafted second year player? A guy you grabbed off waivers from the Broncos last year? Another Jets retread? Good luck back there.

The defensive backs are all too big. There’s no way Devin McCourty is repeating his rookie season. He’s not that good. Darius Butler looked OK as a rookie too, remember? Leigh Bodden is coming off major surgery, and Ras-I Dowling is as sturdy as a 5000-year-old Ming Vase. Then you add a guy cut from the soon-to-be AFC South Champs, which are loaded with talent, but still…

This team cannot beat the Jets. The Jets are in the Patriots head, that much is crystal clear. Fact, not opinion.

Overall, you’ve just got to wonder about Bill Belichick’s commitment to this team. Did he try to load up this year, go all-in before he calls it quits? You have to admit, having the NFL Films documentary about him sure looked like he was trying to secure his legacy, Lombardi-style, before riding off into the sunset and taking the job he’s always really wanted, that of the New York Giants.

How do you feel about your season now, fanboys?

Ticket Watch – Patriots 2011 Season Preview

Here’s a look at the Patriots 2011 home schedule, and which games are most in demand and the current average prices for those games.

Can’t Watch Tonight? NFL Network Replay Schedule Here

As a reminder, here are the stations that will carry tonight’s Patriots/Buccaneers game:

Maine: Portland – WMTW-TV Channel 8, Bangor – WVII-TV Channel 7.

Connecticut: Hartford – WCTX-TV Channel 59. 

Vermont: Burlington – WVNY-TV Channel 22.

Hawaii: Honolulu KHNL-TV Channel 9.

Alaska: Anchorage KIMO-TV Channel 13.

Canada: (Quebec/Maritimes): Rogers Sports Net East.

Once again, the duo of Don Criqui and Randy Cross will call the games. Tonight’s game starts at 7:30pm EDT.

The game will be rebroadcast on the NFL Network at the following times:

  • Friday, 8/19, 4:00 PM ET
  • Sunday 8/21, 7:00 AM ET
  • Tuesday 8/23, 4:00 PM ET

Set your DVRs as those aren’t exactly in prime-time.

You Only Practice Twice

By Bruce Allen, Patriots Daily Staff

So what exactly IS the deal with Albert Haynesworth?

The Patriots make the trade for him, he shows up, passes his physical and his conditioning test, practices twice, and we’ve not seen him again.

Speculation from the usual suspects is predictable – he’s dogging it, he’s a bad dude, he’s just lazy, turn your radio onto either sports radio station in town, and you’ll likely hear some variant of that.

Then there was the piece last weekend from Dan Pompei of the National Football Post, who wrote the following:

Chad Ochocinco and Albert Haynesworth might not be long for New England. One day before this story came out by my guy Mike Reiss, one NFL executive familiar with the Patriots ways told me he believes one or both of the big name acquisitions will be cut before the season starts. The front office man thinks coach Bill Belichick will use the controversial players to help control and send a message to his locker room.

Say what? Since when exactly has Bill Belichick done anything like this? “Controversial” players brought in by Belichick have a pretty decent track record. Belichick cuts players because they can’t help his football team, not to send any sort of message to the locker room.

Mike Reiss feels that Belichick answered that statement with what he said during his Patriots Monday appearance on WEEI this week.

A lot of discussion about Albert Haynesworth and his lack of practice time. Bill Belichick to sports radio WEEI on Monday: “I think Albert has been great since he’s been here. He’s worked hard. He’s done more than really what we’ve asked him to do. He’s put in a lot of extra time and a lot of extra effort to get back on the field, to study, to catch up on things from a playbook standpoint that’s he a little behind on.” Translation: Haynesworth is going to be a big part of what the Patriots do.

Reiss, arguably the most plugged-in and perceptive reporter on the Patriots beat, reads into what the coach said, and draws a reasonable conclusion.

But still….Haynesworth has only those two days of practice? What the heck is going on? This is where things get dangerous, as without information, people are left to speculate. Mostly, people tend to speculate to the negative, which leads to the “dogging it”, “bad dude” comments we’ve heard locally. Others, such a Tom E Curran and Karen Guregian recall that Haynesworth has needed “maintenance” sessions during previous training camps, including injections in his knees, and perhaps that is what is going on here. Could be.

In looking at the situation, I can’t help but see how similar it is to Randy Moss’ first camp here in New England. You’ll recall. Moss gets traded to New England for a fourth round amid rumors and talk that he was dogging it in Oakland, a bad teammate, and a bad guy on and off the field. He comes to training camp, lights it up for a practice, then is out soon thereafter with what was reported to be a hamstring injury. He’s not seen again in the preseason. Speculation runs wild that Moss is in danger of making the club, that he will in fact be cut.

What was happening those weeks where Moss was not at practice? He was getting ready for the season. Perhaps the Patriots saw all they needed to see in that initial practice – they could see he still had it, so there was no need to push him back onto the field. They wanted him ready for the season. As an added bonus, it gave opponents zero tape from which to prepare for the Patriots with Moss. It seemed to work out pretty well.

Is it careless speculation to conclude that something similar is happening here with Haynesworth? Some reporters are tying to put a timetable on things – “If we don’t see him back in a week, I think he could be in danger of being cut.” I don’t see it like that at all. I wouldn’t be surprised if we didn’t see Haynesworth at all the rest of the preseason. Perhaps the Patriots saw all they needed to see in those two days of practice, during which Haynesworth reportedly was dominating the Patriots offensive linemen. Their focus now is making sure he is ready to start the season. From Belichick’s Haynesworth has been studying and catching up on the playbook, which sure seems like a positive.

I’m not too concerned about it. If we get to the week of the season opener, and he’s still not at practice, then perhaps there’s something to be worried about, but let’s get there first.

 

 

Patriots 2011 Preseason Television Network

For those of you across New England, or eastern Canada, here is the listing of TV stations that will carry tonight’s preseason opener against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Note: In the past, the games had also been carried on stations in Honolulu, Hawaii and Anchorage, Alaska. That is apparently no longer the case.

Massachusetts: Boston – WBZ-TV Channel 4, Springfield – WWLP-TV Channel 22.

New Hampshire: Manchester – WMUR-TV Channel 9.

Rhode Island: Providence – WNAC-TV Channel 64. (Reader note: Last year In RI, the Pats/Saints got moved from WNAC (64) to their digital channel MyRI TV, which is 64-2 because of the So You Think You Can Dance finale.  That channel is also carried on Cox, Comcast, Full Channel and Verizon in RI. If you have Satellite, you might be out of luck.)

Maine: Portland – WMTW-TV Channel 8, Bangor – WVII-TV Channel 7.

Connecticut: Hartford – WCTX-TV Channel 59. 

Vermont: Burlington – WVNY-TV Channel 22.

Hawaii: Honolulu KHNL-TV Channel 9.

Alaska: Anchorage KIMO-TV Channel 13.

Canada: (Quebec/Maritimes): Rogers Sports Net East.

Once again, the duo of Don Criqui and Randy Cross will call the games. Tonight’s game starts at 7:30pm EDT.

The game will be rebroadcast on the NFL Network at the following times:

  • Friday, 8/12, 4:00 PM ET
  • Sunday 8/14, 7:00 AM ET
  • Monday 8/15, 7:00 AM ET
  • Tuesday 8/16, 4:00 PM ET