September 30, 2016

Patriots/Raiders Preview From Accuscore

PD has partnered with AccuScore this season to bring you data-driven content on the Patriots and their opponents throughout the year. AccuScore Advisor offers professional grade football betting systems that help build sustainable success while betting on NFL football.

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat the Oakland Raiders. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is projected for 46 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Oakland Raiders wins, Jason Campbell averages 1.33 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.1 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. Darren McFadden averages 101 rushing yards and 0.83 rushing TDs when Oakland Raiders wins and 68 yards and 0.43 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 27% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OAK +4.5 — Over/Under line is 53.5

‘CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England Patriots ATS RECORD Oakland Raiders ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 2-1-0 All Games 3-0-0 Oakland Raiders
Road Games 1-1-0 Home Games 1-0-0 Oakland Raiders
When Favored 2-1-0 When Underdog 3-0-0 Oakland Raiders
Non-Division Opp 1-0-0 Non-Division Opp 2-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Oakland Raiders

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England Patriots ATS RECORD Oakland Raiders ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 11-6-0 All Games 8-8-0 New England Patriots
Road Games 6-2-0 Home Games 4-4-0 New England Patriots
When Favored 8-6-0 When Underdog 6-6-0 New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp 7-3-0 Non-Division Opp 2-8-0 New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record 5-2-0 Opp .500+ Record 5-4-0 New England Patriots

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England Patriots O-U-P RECORD Oakland Raiders O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-0-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 3-0-0 OVER
On Road 2-0-0 At Home 1-0-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 14-3-0 All Totals Last Season 10-6-0 OVER
On Road Last Season 6-2-0 At Home Last Season 6-2-0 OVER

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