May 17, 2012

Worry Wart – Christmas Wishes

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

It’s Christmas Day. We New England fans know we have a lot to be thankful for, especially those of us who have followed the team through the lean times of previous decades.

So, with the Patriots up two games with only two remaining, let’s review our thank-you list for the gifts bestowed on us this season. We might throw a few last-minute (like, really last minute) wishes in there, too.

Home Again, Home Again: New England is undefeated (7-0) at home this year, which makes us grateful that their potential division clincher could happen at Foxboro vs. the Jaguars. All we wanted for Christmas was a two-game lead, and we got it.

But, man, it would be nice to beat the Jaguars, just to give a break the last week of the regular season to those who need to rest hurt body parts. Like, for example…

Tom Thumb: Or finger or ribs. Whatever is ailing quarterback Tom Brady, it’s not his guts. Though he hasn’t been his accurate self of late, our Tom has fought hard to keep the team in contention. A home win ensures a game on the sideline and – we hope – some much-needed recuperation.

Noel? No, Welker: We can’t even begin to show our appreciation for league-leading receiver Wes Welker (109 catches, 1189 yards).  The little elf has been the most reliable player on offense, the best gift a fan could want.

Joey Galloway: Oops. Sorry. Never mind.

Taylor Suited? Even the possibility of running back Fred Taylor returning to contribute vs. his old team makes us gleeful. Taylor has the second-highest rushing average on the team (second to Kevin Faulk – another perfect present, by the way). We’d love to see him recover some of his old form in time for the playoff run.

Now, we’re not necessarily asking that the Pats go far in the playoffs. We’re just saying, you know, that might be kind of a nice little something to try on for the New Year.

Double Double You: Looking forward to the defensive line getting back to its stout self with Vince Wilfork and Ty Warren. Unlike Buffalo, Jacksonville’s offensive linemen have actually played together several times this season, so fancy defensive formations might not have the same effect. Speaking of which…

Christmas Rush: Thanks for the team’s most effective pass rush all season. The Pats notched six sacks at Buffalo. We almost want to ask for it to happen again, but we won’t get greedy.

Although, I mean, it would be really cool.

Silver Bells, Silver Belichick: Most of all, we feel thankful for a coach who came in 10 years ago and rescued this franchise from the point where fans started preferring anonymity over ridicule. Bill Belichick, thanks for coming to Foxboro. And thanks for this year. We really can’t ask for anything more.

Except, see, there’s this Jaguars game on Sunday…

Email Chris Warner at chris.warner@patriotsdaily.[email protected]

Trading Places – A chat with Teal Power

After a few weeks absence, Trading Places makes a triumphant return this week, as we sit down and chat with Nate from the Teal Power Jaguars blog.

1) As as Jags fan, what are your thoughts on Jack Del Rio as a head coach? What are his strengths and weaknesses?

He does not know how to get the team pumped up for each game. In two trips to the west coast, the team was embarrassed in a shutout loss to Seattle and beatdown by 49ers. He also does not know how to get a great pass rush. Too many times the secondary was torched by QB’s taking a nap in the pocket not even having to stress getting sacked. I give some of the problems on offense on the lack of a proven QB. But he is very good at developing younger players including Jones-Drew and Mike Sims Walker. As a fan, I had no idea who MSW was before this season and now he is the 2nd best playmaker on the offense.

2) How much have the Jaguars changed since these teams last met in the playoffs, back in the 2007 season?

Since the 07 season, the Jags have lost big RB Fred Taylor and now Jones-Drew carries the load. MoJo has been able to produce and move the offense but without Taylor there is no backup RB. One big change is that the Jags have decent corners but zero pass rush. Dont have to worry about Brady getting injured because there will be no pressure. Yes the Jags have improved against the run but the lack of pass rush has lead to deep passing plays and more Cover 2 defense.

3) Maurice Jones-Drew has been tremendous this season – what can the Patriots do to try and slow him down?

The Patriots can just focus on not letting Jones Drew beat them by keeping eight in the box to contain Maurice. Maurice is from California and has not played many NFL games in freezing cold weather so look for him to be rusty on the sleet of Boston. Mike Sims Walker and TE Marcedes Lewis are the Jags best receiving threat but they wont need to be double covered. Most of the safety help will be used to slow down Maurice and keep him out of the open field with his speed..

4) How has David Garrard developed as a QB? What does he do best?

David Garrard is very good at throwing on the run and can use his feet to make plays. He still has to work on protecting the football because he fumbles a lot of times getting hit on his blindside. As shown on the Thursday night Indy loss, he forces pass when he doesnt have to. He had one Timeout and 1:00 remaining and he threw into double coverage with no pass rush and got intercepted to lose the game. He also missed some wide open WR’s to keep the team out of FG range at the end of the half. He has got to be the leader on offense for this team or the team really needs to look for a QB in the offseason. There is no backup for Garrard so all the pressure is on
his shoulders.

5) If you were game planning against the Jaguars, where would you attack, both on offense and defense?

If I was going to game plan on offense against the team, I would start with play action passes and moving the QB because the DL is slow so there is not much pass rush. Throw to the TE’s because the Jags have a hard time defending against the TE’s. Also Randy Moss will have a big game with the deep pass. On defense, I would have eight men watching Jones-Drew and blitz Garrard on 3rd and long because he has a hard time handling it. Backside pressure usually causes him to fumble and he has a hard time throwing when he is running left. Make sure a DB is close with Sims-Walker and TE Marcedes Lewis and limit the big play because the Jags usually settle for Josh Scobee FG’s. It is a good matchup for the Pats secondary especially if the snow and sleet are active at gametime.

My Prediction: Pats are looking to finish off the AFC East and clinch the division over Miami and since the game is in Boston, weather will be a huge factor. Tom Brady will have time to throw to Watson, Welker, and Moss and be able to score a lot of points. Patriots win 31-20

Thanks, Nate!

Here is the link to the questions we answered for Teal Power – Sit Down with the Enemy

Around The League – Week 15

By Jeremy Gottlieb, Patriots Daily Staff

Remember back in mid-October, the 18th day of the 10th month to be specific? The Tennessee Titans were 0-6, reeling from a crushing, 59-0 loss to the Patriots in which they had obviously quit at some point early on in the second quarter. Well then, they had a bye, decided to re-insert former first-rounder Vince Young at quarterback and ran off six straight wins and seven of eight, putting themselves squarely in the thick of the AFC playoff hunt at 7-7.

The keys have been plentiful. Young is playing as well as he has since his glory days at the University of Texas (1,619 yards, 60.5 percent completions, 10 TDs vs. just four picks and an excellent passer rating of 92.5), where he led the Longhorns to a national title. Second-year back Chris Johnson leads the NFL in rushing (1,730 yards, 5.7 YPA) and seems to set a record every week. And the defense has improved greatly too, ranking ninth in the league against the run and holding opponents under 20 pints in all but two games since the massacre in Foxboro.

This week, they play the smoking hot San Diego Chargers on Christmas night and they have zero margin for error. One more loss and they’re almost definitely cooked. It will be extremely hard for the Titans to win that game given not just the way the Chargers are playing but that Tennessee has lost its defensive captain, linebacker Keith Bulluck, for the year with a knee injury. But even if they lose and subsequently miss the playoffs, what the Titans have accomplished this year since that snowy October day at Gillette Stadium, when they could have packed it in and settled for a 3-13 campaign, is nothing short of miraculous. It’s a performance that should go down in history as a textbook lesson in perseverance and heart.

This Week’s Five Best Teams

1. Indianapolis: The Colts break through into the top spot thanks to their seventh win of the season after trailing in the fourth quarter, a 35-31 victory over Jacksonville in which Peyton Manning put a stranglehold on the MVP race thanks to his 23-of-30, 308-yard, 4 TD performance.

2. San Diego: The Chargers ninth straight win, a thrilling, 27-24 win over visiting Cincinnati in which they extended their December winning streak to 17 games, also marked Phillip Rivers improving his record in the year’s 12th month as a pro to 17-0. Coincidence? Hardly.

3. New Orleans: At last, the Saints, who have been drifting a bit since their late November beatdown of the Patriots on Monday Night Football, couldn’t pull one out against a Cowboys team that played its best game possibly in years. Some people have noted that the loss will make things easier for New Orleans going forward but regardless, it still would have been awfully cool to see them and the Colts lock horns in the Super Bowl, each at 18-0.

4. Philadelphia: 10,000-some odd pounds of snow in Lincoln Financial Field wasn’t enough to keep the Eagles from their sixth straight win, a 27-13 decision over the 49ers, that gave them further breathing room in the NFC East as well as a clearer path to breaking the hearts of their fans for the umpteenth time with another untimely, sloppy playoff loss.

5. Minnesota: Ah so now things aren’t so rosy on the Good Ship Purple Lollipop after a brutal, 26-7 loss at Carolina on national TV, the Vikings second nationwide crapfest in three weeks. I wonder why? See below if you do too.

This Week’s Five Worst Teams

1. St. Louis: Another week, another miserable loss for my favorite bad team, this one a three-point heartbreaker to the Texans. Given how hard the Rams play for rookie head coach Steve Spagnuolo pretty much every week, it will be interesting to see what this off-season’s acquisitions, particularly a quarterback, will do for the franchise in 2010.

2. Detroit: The Lions fought hard in a near comeback win against the playoff-bound Cards but again fell short because there is not nearly enough talent on their roster. Hopefully, Detroit management, coach Jim Schwartz and the 78 remaining fans will have enough patience to get through another couple of lean years.

3. Kansas City: A home game against the two-win Browns? Not enough for the seemingly-regressing Chiefs, who allowed a running back with zero acumen to gash them for nearly 300 yards and a return man who everyone knows is as dangerous as it gets to run back two kicks for 100+yard scores in a dismal, 41-34 loss.

4. Tampa Bay: How about the Bucs? Just when it seemed they were at least tied with the Rams for the honor of the league’s worst team, they fly 3,000 miles to Seattle and wax the pathetic Seahawks, 24-7.

5. Washington: Their first game since hiring a new GM after several weeks of improvement? And a nationally televised one against an arch rival no less? The Skins seize the day and get blown out, 45-12 to the Giants in a game that features a trick play so poorly conceived that most high school teams wouldn’t run it. Adios finally, Jim Zorn.

What’s Trendy

- Josh Cribbs and Jerome Harrison, Browns Cribbs runs back one kick for a 100-yard TD, then another for a 103-yard TD against Kansas City, giving a record eight kick return scores for his career. And in the same game, the no-name Harrison rushes for 286 yards, not only breaking the team record held by Jim Brown by more than 50 yards, but putting up the third highest single-game tally in league history.

– Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers: After five straight losses, a hypothetical ticket to their local golf course instead of the playoffs and a preposterously bad decision by coach Mike Tomlin to go for an onside kick with the lead and four minutes left goes sour, Ben bails his guys out with a prototypical, last-minute winning comeback, completing a 503-yard passing day, the most in Steeler history, the biggest in the NFL since 2006 and the highest total in the league this year. I wonder if anyone in that locker room is still interested in questioning him now?

– JaMarcus Russell, Raiders??? Our Knucklehead of the Year comes in after three other QBs, the ball boy and an opposing fan get hurt/can’t get the job done, and leads the Raiders to an improbable road win against Denver with a brilliantly executed drive and TD pass with 35 seconds left. There’s hope, it would seem, for this guy yet.

What’s Not

- The Seahawks: Losing 24-7 at home to Tampa? Matt Hasselbeck, four years ago a starting Super Bowl quarterback, throwing four picks and losing one of the worst fumbles in the history of terrible fumbles? Seattle is officially just as bad, if not worse, than last year’s sorry, 4-12 outfit.

– The Jets Special Teams: Three missed field goals – one from 38 yards, another on a bad snap from 20 yards and a third blocked from 37 yards – doom the as usual woebegone Jets in a 10-7 home loss to Atlanta that put their faint playoff hopes on life support. At least those putrid displays overshadowed yet another horrible day by the Sanchize.

– The Broncos: A home loss to the Raiders, their sixth in eight games, make both the Broncos look like their in deep trouble and me look stupid for writing three weeks ago that they would potentially run the table and cruise into the postseason.

And finally…

Once 10-1, now 11-3 and in possession of enough talent and skill to give anyone else in the NFC a great run for a Super Bowl berth, the Vikings seemed primed for this time of the year. But that still isn’t enough for the illustrious Brett Favre. Apparently his coach/chief enabler Brad Childress doesn’t like all of the audibles he calls, even when his team is way ahead (like several weeks ago when he checked out of a run into a deep pass while blowing out the Packers) and tried on a couple of occasions to take him out of the game, even as recently as last week against Carolina. So with that, according the god Favre, people needed to be humiliated in public, team and winning be damned. Look, there’s no need to rehash all of the details. And Childress is not absolved because he should have known what he was getting into when he sold out the organization on his way to pick Favre up at the airport last summer. All that needs to be said is what’s been said in this space before: Brett Favre is a blight on any team he plays for as well as the NFL as a whole, regardless of his performance and numbers. He claims to want to win but all he really wants is to do anything he wants on his own terms and to hell with anyone who tries to get in his way, even if that someone is the coach of the team he supposedly is there to help win. I wasn’t sure the Vikings had what it took to win it all even before this nonsense went public (their defense hasn’t been so great the last month, their offensive line is tired and Adrian Peterson is not the same back he was last year). But now I’m positive. As long as Favre is there, undermining anyone and everyone who dares cross him and his self-importance and swollen ego, the Vikings will never, ever win. The league will be a better place when Favre finally puts us out of our misery and retires for real. So will the Vikings. As for Childress; hey, at least he got a fat contract extension before Favre decided he wasn’t worthy of breathing the same air.

50th Anniversary Minute – the 2006 Patriots

By Brendon Rosenau, Patriots Daily Staff

In light of recent media conversation, it’s appropriate that this week’s look back is at the 2006 New England Patriots. There was much discussion on the airwaves about Dan Dierdorf’s comment on Sunday that this season may be Bill Belichick’s best coaching job. While the merits of that statement will not be fully known for another month, one thing that is a fact, is that in 2006, Belichick did a superb job of guiding an underwhelming team to a fourth straight division title and a third AFC title game in four years. In 2006, New England went 12-4 won its fourth straight division title and allowed a franchise record 14.8 points per game.

2006 will be remembered for two things, Troy Brown’s forced fumble against San Diego and the Pats blowing a 21-3 lead to Indy in the title game. Surely, the Patriots would’ve exacted revenge on Chicago in the Super Bowl for a fourth ring, but it was not to be. Here is what you need to be reminded of in 2006: Reche Caldwell was the teams top receiver. Aside from Troy Brown the receiving corps featured the immortal Doug Gabriel, Bam Childress, Chad Jackson and Kelvin Kight. Jabar Gaffney was signed off the street and become the teams top receiver in the playoffs. Before the season started the Patriots lost championship contributors Adam Vinatieri, Willie McGinest, David Givens and Deion Branch. That’s a total of 10 Super Bowl rings, two Super Bowl game winning kicks and one Super Bowl MVP. What were the chances New England would be a Super Bowl contender?

However, the Patriots would find ways to win all season long. They blew out a talented Cincinnati team in Week Four, lit up Minnesota on a Monday night, smoked the Packers in Green Bay and ended the season with wins at Jacksonville and Tennessee. The final game, though, would be a costly win as Rodney Harrison was injured and lost for the remainder of the season.

In the playoffs New England opened against Eric Mangini and spanked the Jets 37-16 to avenge a home loss – the last game played on grass in Foxboro, and send Man-Genius to the golf course.

The next week New England went into San Diego to take on the 14-2 Chargers. A team led by the league’s MVP, nine Pro Bowlers, five All Pros and a cast of obnoxious characters. New England trailed 14-3 with two minutes to play in the second before Tom Brady engineered a perfect two-minute drill that resulted in a Gaffney 6-yard TD catch. In the fourth the Chargers went up 21-13 and when Brady was picked by Marlon McCree all hope seemed lost. Brown made an excellent football play, stripped McCree and Caldwell recovered. Caldwell then caught a touchdown pass and Kevin Faulk’s 2-point conversion tied the game. The N.E. defense forced a punt and Gostkowski was true on a 31-yard field goal with 2:16 to play. S.D. then missed a 50+ yard field to tie the game which resulted in the Pats celebrating on the Chargers lightning bolt at midfield.

What were your memories from 2006? Was this Belichick’s best coaching job? Remember the draft day buzz about getting Chad Jackson?

Merry Christmas to all.

LEADERS

  • Tom Brady 3,529 yards (7th in NFL), 24 TD (T-4th), 87.9 rating (9th)
  • Corey Dillon 812 yards, 13 TD (4th)
  • Laurence Maroney 745 yards, 6 TD
  • Reche Caldwell 61 catches, 760 yards 4 TD
  • Tedy Bruschi 113 tackles
  • Asante Samuel 10 INT (T 1st)
  • Rosevelt Colvin 8.5 sacks
  • Ty Warren 7.5 sacks

All Pro
Richard Seymour (RDE),
Pro Bowl
Matt Light (LT), Seymour,

-30-

No Sin So Long As You Win

There’s this new game I like to play. I call it, “Imagine if Bill Belichick had done that.

After three straight losses, Mike Tomlin told the media the Steelers were going to “unleash hell” in December. Then they lost to Oakland and Cleveland. Imagine if Belichick had done that.

You get the idea.

Tomlin’s decision Sunday to try an onside kick with four minutes left while holding a two-point lead over the Packers has been called into question by the media, but with nowhere near the fervor of Belichick’s decision to go for it on fourth-and-two in the waning minutes against the Colts a month ago.

In both instances, a respected head coach made a decision contrary to the conventions of the league. In both instances, the decisions failed. And in both instances, the stats geeks later backed the coaches up, saying the numbers supported the choices. The only distinctions? Tomlin won, and Tomlin’s not named Bill Belichick.

Mike Reiss, probably at great risk to his ESPN cred, highlighted the disparity in media outrage to the two calls.

“What became clear this week,” Reiss wrote, “is that the furor surrounding ‘fourth-and-2′ went way beyond that.”

Both Belichick’s and Tomlin’s decisions can be defended, though. The one that made no sense at all was Titans coach Jeff Fisher’s decision late in the game against Miami on Sunday.

The score was tied with 56 seconds left, and Titans punter Brett Kern had just laid down a punt at the Dolphins’ two. Fisher had all three timeouts left, but used none, letting the Dolphins run out the clock. Had he used the three TOs and prevented a Miami first down, Miami’s punting from the end zone with thirty-something seconds left, with possibly the punt return alone putting Tennessee in field goal range.

Instead, they go into overtime, and Miami wins the coin toss. Fortunately for Fisher, a Chad Henne interception saved his skin, and the Titans won on a Rob Bironas field goal.

Fisher’s rationale: ““Our defense had been on the field for two consecutive drives and didn’t stop them. We had a chance to end the game in regulation offensively. At that point, I was not going to take a chance and force his hand and let him take an opportunity to throw the ball down the field.”

Except that once they lost the toss in OT, they were putting their defense in a worse situation, and even more at risk of the Dolphins throwing downfield, with all of overtime and their full allotment of timeouts at their disposal. Fisher had nothing to lose and everything to gain in using his timeouts at the end of regulation. Imagine if Belichick had done that.

It’s the old axiom: when you win, all sins are forgotten.

Of course, there’s another consideration. While these coaches are flouting convention on the field, they’re loathe to do so in the press room. Unlike Belichick, they dutifully cater to the media, knowing where their bread is buttered.

As Reiss noted in his article, Tomlin spoke at length on his decision.

“Plan A didn’t work, but it kind of unfolded the way you envisioned it,” Tomlin said. “We had 30 minutes of evidence that we could drive the ball on them. We also conversely had 30 minutes of evidence to show they could also drive the ball on us. That’s why we took the risk when we did.”

Imagine if Belichick had done that.

Making The Grades – Week 15 at Buffalo

By Jeremy Gottlieb, Patriots Daily Staff

OK, class, let’s see a show of hands. Who here thought it would be next to impossible for the Patriots to win uglier than they did last week against the Panthers? All of you? Me too. Same with just about every other professor here at our esteemed institute of higher learning. But that’s exactly what the Pats did on Sunday in sunny Buffalo. Despite another performance by their once outstanding, now pedestrian offense that could be described as dispiriting as best and a steaming pile of crap at worst, the Pats gritted and gutted their way to a 17-10 win over the worse than terrible Bills, a win that, combined with losses on Sunday by both the Jets and Dolphins, lined up a division title that can be locked down with a win either this week against Jacksonville or next week at Houston. Granted, the Pats made more plays than the Bills did and enough to win. Randy Moss and Laurence Maroney were big, important factors in the victory. And the defense, despite missing its two best players (Vince Wilfork and Ty Warren) played its best game in weeks, mystifying the Bills anemic offense all day, a lot in part to some new schematic wrinkles. But Buffalo was quite complicit in its own demise, doling out one bad penalty or missed opportunity after another, the worst of which were a horrible dropped pass deep in Pats territory late in the game and a recovered onside kick, also late in the game, that was erased by a procedure penalty. For the second consecutive week, the Pats got away with a win they would have been hard pressed to get if they’d played a real, decent team. But, as has been our motto here at PDU for going on at least five weeks now, a win is a win and the aesthetics of it don’t matter in the slightest. So with that, let’s get to this week’s report card, now manufactured with a fresh, lavender scent to keep anyone from getting sick from the fumes of the actual game.

OFFENSE: Overall Grade: C-

Ugly, ugly, ugly. Since this seems to be shaping up as a pretty interactive report card, let’s ask the masses to describe 224 total yards, 3.93 yards per play, 19 total first downs and just five third down conversions on 12 tries in one word. Ugly? Yeah that sounds right. How about eight total yards and no first downs in the fourth quarter prior to their last possession? Yeah, ugly. Here’s another one: a three-and-out on four of seven second half possessions. U-G-L-Y. But again, it was the Bills that the Pats were playing. You know, the team that they’ve beaten 13 times in a row and 18 of 20? So while all of these numbers are yes, ugly, against a team like the Bills, ugly will still cut it. Let’s just hope they get a little prettier by the time the playoffs come around. Those games will require an offensive effort far better than ugly. This offense has struggled mightily for the past few games, especially in the second half. But Sunday was the worst.

Quarterbacks: C-

It says something that the Pats were able to win with Brady playing as poorly as he did on Sunday. 11-of-23 for 115 yards (5.0 YPA), one TD, one pick (and two more should-have-been picks) and a passer rating of 59.1 isn’t going to cut it most days. Numbers-wise, he was outplayed by Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was benched in the fourth quarter. Many, many times, Brady would drop back, not be able to find Randy Moss or Wes Welker and hold the ball. He wasn’t sacked, but on the interception, he should have taken one instead of try to force the ball to a triple-covered Welker. Whether his refusal/inability to throw the ball away when he needed to was an example of stubbornness or simply a product of not having anyone he trusts other than Moss or Welker to throw to, I don’t recall him ever a) holding the ball for as long as he did and has been lately, or b) looking as indecisive as he has recently. There were some great moments of course, his rocket TD pass to Moss in the second quarter being the high point. And his lack of accuracy on a couple of the downfield throws was diluted by both the double and triple teams the Bills ran at Moss as well as the multiple defensive pass interference penalties (and when he did put a long throw on the money, such as in the third quarter when he had Sam Aiken streaking down the left sideline, Aiken simply dropped it). The Pats have to get better in multiple areas headed into the playoffs and apparently, quarterback is one of those. It’s somewhat stunning, but if it wasn’t obvious before Sunday, it is now.

Running Backs: B-

Maroney continued his resurgence, especially in the first half, continually plowing ahead even with no daylight in front of him, and moving further and further away from his former, dancing fool self. There is nothing spectacular about Maroney’s play of late; he’s not explosive at all and for all of his success since taking over the featured back role two months ago, he hasn’t broken a big run since the 59-0 snow game win over the Titans. But he’s been steady and solid and there’s nothing wrong with that combo. He just gets tough yards, regardless of the formation he gets the ball out of and he’s learned how to make something out of nothing with the perfect evidence of that being his one-yard TD run near the end of the second quarter. He finished with 81 yards and that score on 23 carries which only comes out to a 3.5YPA . But there is a purpose and a power to his game that was non-existent for the majority of his time here before the onset of the season’s second half. KevinFaulk was as limited as he’s been in weeks, getting only two touches all day and missing a block on Bills pass rushing demon Aaron Schobel that almost left Brady with another knee reconstruction and Sammy Morris was in at fullback/lead blocker more than as the primary ball carrier. And where the running game was very successful in the first half, it sunk in the second following a 14-play drive that ended with a field goal. Still, there’s more here to praise than to complain about and the ongoing commitment to this aspect of the game, especially given the struggles of the passing game lately is certainly a positive development.

Wide Receivers: B

I sure am looking forward to not hearing anyone rip Moss for quitting this week, aren’t you? Moss bounced back, as he said in his postgame remarks, with five catches for 70 yards and that awesome TD catch as well as drawing the 43-yard pass interference call that set it up. It was obvious that the offensive game plan was strongly tilted toward getting Moss involved and getting him involved early. He was lined up all over the line of scrimmage, ran several crossing routes and made a couple of plays in traffic, including one on which he saved Brady from another pick on a throw into coverage in the middle of the field. It wasn’t as flashy as some of his best performances as a Patriot, but it was more than serviceable and showed that whatever steps Bill Belichick and his staff took to get him more involved after the past few games, they worked. Welker was held to just four catches, a season low, but made the most important one of the day snaring an eight-yarder on third-and-six with just over two minutes left to preserve the win. It seemed that Welker was the Buffalo defense’s focal point, and why not? But even though there were a few throws by Brady that he didn’t come up with (he was targeted 11 times), he made enough plays to contribute well, also drawing a long interference penalty that led to a TD and picking some tough yards on a reverse. Aiken again was able to beat his man on a go route but can’t seem to catch the ball with any consistency which is a problem given that he is, after all, a receiver. If the Pats are going to keep throwing to him, he had better use more stickem because he has stones for hands.

Tight Ends: Incomplete

Wait, what happened to involving the tight ends in the game plan? Neither Ben Watson or Chris Baker had a single pass thrown his way, even though Watson (according to Mike Reiss’s invaluable snap chart on ESPN Boston .com) played more snaps than anyone on the rest of the offense. So again, even though each of them contributed to the running game, especially Baker, who was praised in the aftermath by Belichick, it’s impossible to grade them. Maybe Watson is playing hurt and can’t get open. Maybe Brady doesn’t trust either of them to catch the ball if he throws it their way. But given the total lack of weapons in the passing game beyond Moss and Welker (Brady completed just two passes to anyone other than them on Sunday and both were to backs), it just seems like going forward, more of an effort must be made to get Watson and Baker involved.

Offensive Line: B-

Matt Light on Brady’s nemesis Schobel? Excellent. Everything else? Average. With the line again missing Stephen Neal and this week without weak link Nick Kaczur, Brady was not sacked once, but he was under a lot of pressure and took a handful of hits. The running game was physical and these guys set the tone. But just over three yards per rushing attempt against the league’s worst ranked run defense? Not so good. It wasn’t the best day Dan Koppen has ever had, mostly due to having to deal with the Bills giant nose man Marcus Stroud. And after looking so good in battening down the hatches on the right side last week against Carolina, Sebastian Vollmer and Dan Connolly looked more like rookies on Sunday. Whether or not the Pats can run the ball with any consistency and whether or not Brady has time to throw obviously depends on this group. The performance in Buffalo was fine, even pretty good, but far from great.

DEFENSE: Overall Grade: B+

It started out so poorly. Without Wilfork and Warren, the Bills came out running right up the middle and right down the Pats collective throat. 14 plays (nine of the runs) and 9:24 later, the Bills were in the red zone and if it weren’t for their total ineptitude (a false start from the 2, having to burn a time out), the Pats wouldn’t have escaped down just three points. But after that, the Pats D took over, in great part due to what my PDU colleague Chris Warner so awesomely calls the “cocktail party formation.” Eschewing any linemen (save for Mike Wright, a traditional pass rusher), the Pats spent several snaps employing multiple linebackers, DBs and edge guys, most of them milling around the middle of the formation without setting up in a given spot. To say this wrinkle completely flummoxed the Bills, whose offense was suspect (to be kind) already, would be an understatement as they didn’t see the red zone again until the fourth quarter. The “cocktail party formation” allowed the Pats to bring pressure more than at any other point this season and it worked out even better than they’d likely hoped thanks to Buffalo’s hapless, shredded offensive line, to the tune of six sacks, six more hits on Fitzpatrick and backup Trent Edwards and seven tackles for negative yards. The Bills non-existent passing game allowed the spotlight to be mostly shined away from the secondary (although Brandon Meriweather still managed to make yet another utterly hideous, bone-headed play that nearly cost his team dearly) and onto guys like Wright, Derrick Burgess (again with the ups for Burgess!!!) and Tully Banta -Cain, who played what may have been the game of his life. It seems pretty clear that employing this scheme was a reaction to not having Wilfork and Warren as well as a way to attack Buffalo’s weakened line. But it worked so well that it may be worth trotting out again.

Defensive Line: B+

No Wilfork and Warren? After the Bills’ first drive, no problem. It was Mike Wright’s day to shine above all other D-linemen and he submitted his best day in a season full of good ones. Wright was responsible for a sack, five solo tackles, two for a loss and another hit on the quarterback. He was so good, whether playing at Warren’s left end spot, on the nose in place of Wilfork or in any sub package, that Belichick said he had, “a tremendous game. About as good a game as a defensive lineman can play, really.” And if you don’t believe that, watch the play on which he tracked down wide receiver Josh Reed 30 yards downfield after a catch and run. Great stuff. Jarvis Green kept things on an even keel for this group (which was also without rookie Myron Pryor)and provided five tackles to go with some heady, veteran leadership, earning himself a game ball from the coaching staff for his efforts. And rookie, second-round pick Ron Brace, who has been unable to find his way on to the active roster in seven games, got the call in Wilfork’s stead and acquitted himself fairly well after getting dominated on that opening Buffalo drive. Brace had three tackles and did well in run support and even though his face mask penalty when he was coming in to finish off a Gary Guyton sack was a big one, he showed that he’s capable of playing and contributing in a pinch and that should earn him at least a little more time down the stretch. Get used to seeing him out there; he’s going to be playing a lot more next year when Wilfork is in Seattle or Tampa Bay or even Oakland alongside Richard Seymour counting the money that the Pats most likely won’t give him when his contract is up after the season.

Linebackers: B+

Not just another day at the office for this beleaguered bunch – who knew that having them all stand around looking like they were waiting for the bathroom would be the key to their best collective game of the year? When the Bills were running at will in the first quarter and Guyton and Jerod Mayo (who was again so mediocre that he absolutely has to not be completely over his Week 1 knee injury) were getting blown away again and again, it was hard to imagine things getting much worse for the linebacking corps. But the “cocktail party formation” opened things up for them in a major way and several of them responded, starting with Banta-Cain. Along with those three sacks (which gave him 8.5 on the season), he also put up six tackles, three for a loss and hit the QB another three times. It was a virtuoso game for Banta-Cain, a former castoff of two teams who is having the definition of a career year and while he’s still limited, especially against the run (though he is much improved in that area), he is now someone who opposing coaches may well have to game plan for and who in the hell saw that coming? Burgess had his second great excellent game, clearly emboldened by being set free to do what he’s always done best thanks to the game plan. He had another sack and led the team in solo tackles and looks as if it’s no coincidence that his two best games of the year have come on the heels of his banishment along with Moss, Guyton and Adalius Thomas. Thomas, for his part, played a decent game a week after being benched for the second time this year, though he was far from the most effective linebacker wearing a white uniform and his “the cream always rises to the top,” comment after the game when he was asked if he knew he’d get back on the field after last week’s embarrassment was rather nauseating, proving at least somewhat that he still doesn’t get it. Guyton and Junior Seau pitched in solid efforts, and even Rob Ninkovich did some good things, also benefiting from the “cocktail party formation.” Only Pierre Woods really stunk out the joint but luckily, his playing time has diminished over the course of the season and he’s back mostly to being what he is, which is a special teams player.

Secondary: B

Sort of a boring day for this group, mostly due to the Bills inability to throw the ball downfield before the fourth quarter. At the corners, Leigh Bodden had a mostly good showing, knocking down a couple passes and being in good position on the great TD reception by Lee Evans. Shawn Springs got another start and competently did his job while Jonathan Wilhite again looked comfortable not having as much responsibility as he did when he was starting and getting torched regularly, with his second quarter interception on which he displayed perfect technique in tracking and making a play on the ball while staying with his man easily one of his high points of the season. James Sanders started at safety again and made a couple of plays while Brandon McGowan saw more action than last week against Carolina and laid out a couple of his patented big hits. The only real problem was Meriweather, again. He mostly looked OK, making a couple tackles in run support and just missing an interception on a long pass intended for Evans. But in the fourth quarter, with the Bills driving but facing a fourth-and-long, Fitzpatrick found Reed two yards shy of the first down with Meriweather right on him. But instead of tackling Reed, Meriweather got macho and tried to lay him out with a single hit, only the hit was weak, Reed bounced off it, Meriweather crumpled and Reed was off to a 29-yard gain (luckily, Reed dropped a wide open throw that hit him in the chest four plays later, one of the 48 enormous breaks for the Pats on the day). Why Meriweather, a player with so much obvious physical talent, can’t seem to get out of his own way for at least one week, is one of the more confusing things about this team. Given the amount of responsibilities he has, it would do everyone a lot of good for him to get over these weekly mental lapses and do it quickly.

Special Teams: B-

Major props to Kyle Arrington, who has come out of thin air to assume the mantle as the Pats best special teams player. He had two special teams tackles and was regularly one of the first down the field on both punts and kickoffs. Elsewhere, the kicking game was fair with Stephen Gostkowski still not getting kickoffs to the end zone anymore and Chris Hanson managing a measly 33.8 yards per kick (just one was returned but unfortunately for both Hanson and the punt team, it went for 20 yards and set up the Bills TD). Aiken and his stone hands couldn’t handle the onside kick that came right to him, but was saved by (surprise!!) a Buffalo penalty. The Pats were decent on their own returns, nothing more and nothing less. Pretty much sums up the whole day for this phase of the game.

Coaching: A-

It’s easy to forget since it’s been so long since he’s done it, but Belichick used to roll out gems like the “cocktail party formation” with regularity, oftentimes for large swaths of games. It was nice to see him go to that well on Sunday, regardless of why he did it. Again, the Bills and their incompetence helped a lot, but the decision to really shake things up on defense energized the players on that side of the ball and made it feel like the Pats were in total control all along despite their offensive struggles until the final five minutes of the game. Both coordinators, Dean Pees on defense and Bill O’Brien,de facto on offense, had good days with most of their calls, no small feat considering what a tough year they’ve both had, especially O’Brien. It was an encouraging turn of events, made all the more important due to the playoffs being right around the corner. As has been pointed out before, this is a pretty good time for anyone to get on a roll, including coaches. The players’ execution of the material given to them hasn’t been so great recently, but don’t blame Belichick and his coaches. They’re on the right track.

Take A Lap – QB Tom Brady

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Being of such sunny disposition here at PD, we find it difficult to assign our notorious lap to any one player after a division win. Still, the lap waits for no one and must go to Tom Brady this week.

Brady completed two notable passes, firing a touchdown to Randy Moss (here’s the clip) and converting a third-and-long to Wes Welker to seal the game. Overall, he went 11 for 23, with an early interception that killed New England’s first drive (clip here). On the play, he missed Welker across the middle and failed to account for linebacker Paul Posluszny. This pass followed a first and 10 bomb to Moss which Brady threw incomplete into double coverage.

Brady also failed to connect with Sam Aiken on a couple of deep balls and threw short passes to Welker that had better odds of getting caught by groundhogs. Though the QB felt some pressure from Buffalo’s rush, they failed to sack him, and throughout the day he appeared to have enough time to follow through on his throws.

As Brady goes, so goes New England. We can say that his decisions goaded Buffalo into committing pass interference penalties that won the game, but the Patriots can no longer depend on other team’s mistakes to win. Mr. Brady, it’s time to step up. For this week’s performance, and with the hope of improvements to come, we ask that you take a lap.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

Game Ball – DC Dean Pees

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Say what you want about New England beating a scoring-challenged Buffalo team, no one deserves the coveted PD Game Ball more than defensive coordinator Dean Pees.

Pees’ defensive line put the D in depleted, as Vince Wilfork, Ty Warren and Myron Pryor all missed the trip due to injuries. After an opening series where Buffalo pounded the ball (including five straight runs by Fred Jackson totaling 24 yards), Pees made a few adjustments. That, and a Bills tendency to implode with penalties, tempered the Bills rushing attack.

Most of all, though, Pees gets credit for implementing what we’re calling the cocktail party defense: on passing downs, New England forewent down linemen for a cluster of linebackers loitering around the line of scrimmage. The look confused the home team’s inexperienced offensive line and opened the gates for the visitors’ best sack production of the year (Tully Banta-Cain had three all by his lonesome).

We have heard (and seen) how this defense lacks the playmakers of Pats yore. In the face of this leadership void, we enjoyed watching certain players respond Sunday, including standout performances by Mike Wright (six tackles, one sack), Derrick Burgess (six tackles, one sack) and Banta-Cain (six tackles, three sacks).

So, Coach Pees, for adding a few positive twists to a team that needed them, we award you this week’s game ball.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

Gut Check – Game 14 at Bills

by Chris Warner, Patriots Daily Staff

Going up to Buffalo, the Patriots looked primed for an upset. They carried with them an allegedly treacherous receiver (Randy Moss) and a lack of defensive linemen (Vince Wilfork and Ty Warren injured). Plus, they didn’t exactly scare anyone with their 1-5 record away from home.

Despite all that, New England managed a 14-3 halftime lead over the Bills and hung on for a 17-10 win. With losses by the Dolphins and Jets, the Pats now sit two games in front of the AFC East race with two to play.

A few notes…

Colossus Of Road: Behold, ladies and gentlemen! One of the Seven Wonders of the World – a Patriots road victory! A fluke, or a sign of good things to come? Stay tuned.

An A-Paul-ling First Quarter: Not a great game for Tom Brady, who got intercepted by linebacker Paul Posluszny when he threw the ball into coverage thicker than Posluszny’s neck (my God, just look at that thing). Brady hit on fewer than half of his passes (11 for 23) for only 115 yards.

The good news? Moss had five catches for 70 yards and a sweet toe-tapping touchdown in the back of the end zone. Not a bad week for a guy accused of shutting it down for the season.

The Penalty’s Mightier: Though pass completions proved hard to come by, pass interference yardage abounded, as yellow flags in the second quarter set up New England’s two TDs. For the game, Buffalo got penalized 11 times for 124 yards, more than the Pats’ ground game (109 yards) and passing game (115).

When Do You Get Your Brace Off: Tough start for rookie defensive tackle Ron Brace, who got pushed around during Buffalo’s opening drive, then got called for a facemask penalty in the fourth that negated a sack. To his credit, Brace did tally four tackles.

Get Up, Stand Up: On passing downs, New England employed the ol’ cocktail party formation, i.e., a bunch of guys milling around the line of scrimmage. This confusing defense led to six sacks, three by Tully Banta-Cain and one each by Derrick Burgess, Gary Guyton and Mike Wright.

Speaking of the latter…

All Wright Already: Great overall game by defensive lineman Wright, who fought for six tackles, including the aforementioned sack and an impressive hustle play where he caught receiver Josh Reed downfield late in the fourth.

Rushin’ Rule It: Though he averaged less that 3.5 yards per carry, Laurence Maroney (23 rushes, 81 yards, one TD) fought hard for every inch and showed consistency in finding the open gap.

Barely Koppen: It seemed that whenever Maroney got stopped behind the line of scrimmage, center Dan Koppen was standing looking toward the play. Never a good sign.

Up Against The Vollmer: Watching the play of rookie offensive lineman Sebastian Vollmer, all we can say is that it feels good to have the right tackle position solidified.

Next week, the Pats finish up their home regular-season schedule with Jacksonville, coming off a tough loss to the Colts. A win, and New England takes the AFC East. Let’s not think about the alternative right now.

Email Chris Warner at [email protected]

Matchups of the Week – Patriots at Bills

By Dan Zeigarnik, Patriots Daily Staff

After atrocious road losses to the Saint and Dolphins, the Patriots followed them up with a lackluster home win against the lowly Panthers which left fans grasping for answers. This week, the airwaves were filled with angry callers disgusted with Randy Moss’s supposed lack of effort and apocalyptic rhetoric about the end of the dynasty. However, the season is not over and there is still a chance that we can all look back on this mid-season stumble with a hardy laugh.

As Bill Belichick said this week, “It’s a one game season” and ‘this season’ is against the Bills. This Sunday, look for these matchups:

1. Patriots Running Backs vs. Buffalo front 7

In recent weeks, the Patriots have been giving a concerted effort to mount a balanced attack by establishing the run and staying committed to it throughout the game. There are several reasons for this new found affinity towards the running game. 1) The high powered aerial attack of 2007 has had difficulty getting off the ground; mostly as a result of a lack of a consistent 3rd receiver presence. 2) Maroney is healthy once again and is in the midst of his most productive year. He is running over people, finding holes and dancing less, albeit still to much for many fans’ liking. 3) A running game is an integral component in cold weather playoff games and the kinks need to be ironed well in advance to the playoff run. On top of all that, Buffalo ranks 32nd in run defense letting up 170.5 yards per game and a whopping 5.0 yards per carry. Such a glaring weakness will definitely be exploited.

Bills DE Aaron Schobel with one of his 12 career sacks of Tom Brady

Bills DE Aaron Schobel with one of his 12 career sacks of Tom Brady

2. Vollmer/Light vs. Aaron Schobel

It is well known that Aaron Schobel has more sacks against Brady then any other individual in the NFL. So he will clearly be a marked man, as the offensive line is still trying to reassert itself after the shellacking they received against the Saints three-man rush. Now with Vollmer back, look for the offensive line to protect an ailing Tom Brady.

3. Patriots Linebackers vs. Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch

The Bills have a very formidable running back tandem that can break tackles, catch balls in the flat, and with the speed to bust open big plays. This is the Bills greatest strength and the Patriots will look to mitigate possible damage done by these two running backs. Look for Guyton and Banta-Cain to mirror Jackson and Lynch when they come out in the flat.

4. Patriots Corners vs. Buffalo Receivers

There was some significant turnover in the secondary last week with James Sanders and Shawn Springs returning to the starting line-up. It will be interesting to see if the secondary can handle their assignments now that the ‘dumbed-down’ schemes will be in place for the second straight week.

5. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Patriots Blitz

Fitzpatrick is a fleet-footed young quarterback who will look to break out of the pocket and scamper for first downs. The Patriots will try to keep Fitzy in the pocket and blitz from the outside in obvious passing situations.

Media Notes – Dan Dierdorf Again, Folks

The Patriots are back on CBS this week, and once again it is the “B” team of Greg Gumbel and Dan Dierdorf bringing us the game. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm on Sunday.

Dierdorf spoke about the Patriots/Bills matchup on a conference call earlier this week. gumbel-dierdorf

(On New England-Buffalo): You look at this match-up and see a quarterback in Ryan Fitzpatrick, making only his seventh start ever in the NFL; a Buffalo team with a losing record and that New England has dominated historically, and you say, ‘This is pretty much a mail it in game.’  But factor in that the New England Patriots have been a little up and down; they’ve only won one game on the road; and the game is in Buffalo, a hard place to win with the wind and the cold, a game that looks like it might be a no-brainer could end up being anything but.  The conditions could be less than favorable for throwing the football and New England is a passing team.

(On Buffalo): There are some teams in this league that just aren’t competitive.  Maybe once or twice a year they can muster it up, but the Bills certainly don’t fall into that category.  The Bills are 5-8 but the first time that these two teams played, opening weekend in New England, it was a 25-24 ballgame.  This is a much better Buffalo team than some of the bottom dwellers.  They only lost to Jacksonville, 18-15.  They lost to the Jets, 19-13.  This is not a bad football team.  It’s a team with a losing record, but this team is far from being an embarrassment.

(On weather conditions being a factor): It’s the middle of December in Buffalo.  I don’t need to say much more than that.  It could be wild.  It’s going to be frosty.  I think the temperature is going to be somewhere in the 20s.  And as we know in Buffalo, the wind will probably be blowing.  Who knows what might happen.  The Bills are the worst run defending team in the NFL but it will be interesting to see if New England can take advantage of that because New England is not a strong running team.  They are middle of the road.  They’re just not a ‘pound it at you’-type football team.  They are a pass first offense.  It will be interesting to see if New England is capable of taking advantage of that match-up that they have.

ESPN

On Sunday NFL Countdown, Sal Paolantonio will be providing reports from the Patriots – Bills game.

Wes Welker: Little Big Man: For the third straight season, 5 ft., 9 in; 185-pound Wes Welker has 100 catches. Berman visits with the Patriots wide receiver to find out why he dominates the middle of the field in spite of his size and why he is so effective gaining yards after the catch.

FOX

Analyst Jimmy Johnson on the Patriots struggles this season: “The NFL is a no excuse league. Fans don’t want to hear about who’s injured, young players, inexperienced players. They want to know, did you win or did you lose? The Patriots need to work harder. I’ve always said the harder you work, the luckier you get.”

Co-host Terry Bradshaw added: “Bottom line is this is still the New England Patriots. As long as you have Brady, you are way ahead. He’s the best player in the game today.”

NFL Network

AFC Playbook (Sunday 7:00am) – Brian Baldinger, Sterling Sharpe and Joe Theismann discuss: How the Patriots can move closer to clinching the AFC East

Probably not high on your “I have to see this game again” list, but:

Saturday, 12 NOON ET New England Patriots vs. New Orleans Saints (Week 12, 2009) – In a battle of two of the top offenses, New Orleans outlasts the Patriots for a 38-17 victory. QB Drew Brees passes for 371 yards and five touchdowns in the win.

On NFL Gameday Morning, Kara Henderson reports from Patriots-Bills matchup.

Patriots All Access Returns Tonight at 7:00

Patriots All Access returns tonight, Friday, Dec. 18 at 7 p.m. on WBZ-TV in Boston. The full program is also available immediately afterward on Patriots.com.

Here’s a look at what you can expect from tonight’s show:

  • Sights and sounds from Sunday’s victory over Carolina, including an impassioned Tom Brady on the sidelines (see video below)
  • Bill Belichick sits down with Scott Zolak to discuss the new-look Buffalo Bills and break down the Bills’ big play offense on The Belestrator
  • Steve Burton goes one-on-one with rookie tackle Sebastian Vollmer, the only NFL player from Germany
  • Zolak and Christian Fauria examine Bills quarterback and Harvard product Ryan Fitzgerald’s play
  • All Access tags along with Jarvis Green, one of the team’s best-dressed players, as he is fitted for a suit
  • In honor of the Patriots’ 50th Anniversary Season, All Access reveals the second greatest moment in the history of the franchise, as voted by the fans
  • Patriots Football Weekly’s Paul Perillo and ESPN Boston.com’s Mike Reiss lend their expert opinions

I’m looking forward to hearing Sebastian Vollmer speak, I really haven’t heard him thus far, and it’s said he has a German/Texas accent…

Check out this video preview of tonight’s episode: